GFI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | -0.8% | 7.0% | 44% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.6% | 4.1% | 39% |
| Day 3 | -2.8% | -2.1% | 3.4% | 17% |
| 5-day | -2.3% | -0.1% | 9.5% | 44% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-24 beat | 0.22 | 0.27 | +22.7% | +1.0% | +1.9% | -13.6% | -20.6% |
| 2022-03-30 beat | 0.18 | 0.24 | +33.3% | -0.1% | -0.5% | -4.3% | -13.8% |
| 2019-08-14 miss | 0.07 | 0.06 | -14.3% | -3.3% | -5.4% | +6.4% | -15.1% |
| 2016-02-18 | 0.02 | 0.02 | — | -18.2% | -4.7% | +5.0% | -6.9% |
| 2015-11-19 | 0.03 | 0.03 | — | +0.0% | +18.0% | -5.5% | +7.4% |
| 2015-08-20 beat | 0.01 | 0.03 | +500.0% | +6.6% | +16.4% | -13.0% | -24.5% |
| 2015-02-12 beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +33.3% | -5.9% | -7.9% | -15.5% | -25.8% |
| 2014-11-20 miss | 0.04 | 0.03 | -14.3% | +5.1% | +1.5% | -1.2% | +1.2% |
| 2014-08-21 | 0.03 | 0.03 | — | -1.2% | -1.7% | +11.3% | -1.9% |
| 2014-05-08 | 0.03 | 0.03 | — | -1.7% | -3.2% | -1.8% | -8.3% |
| 2014-02-13 miss | 0.07 | 0.02 | -75.3% | -3.7% | +2.4% | +3.1% | +5.6% |
| 2013-11-20 miss | 0.02 | 0.02 | -15.6% | -2.2% | -3.1% | -8.9% | -29.5% |
| 2013-08-22 miss | -0.01 | -0.04 | -317.6% | -4.4% | -1.1% | -8.8% | -17.5% |
| 2013-02-14 | 0.21 | 0.21 | — | +1.7% | +2.3% | -15.8% | -21.7% |
| 2012-08-23 miss | 0.31 | 0.30 | -3.2% | -0.4% | -3.6% | -6.5% | -0.7% |
| 2012-05-17 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +8.3% | +3.5% | +1.9% | +8.8% | +12.5% |
| 2010-02-04 beat | 0.20 | 0.26 | +26.6% | -3.9% | -6.7% | +6.9% | +10.3% |
| 2009-10-29 miss | 0.17 | 0.11 | -33.6% | +1.7% | +5.7% | +2.2% | +10.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.