TCX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.6% | +0.8% | 5.9% | 55% |
| Day 2 | -1.1% | +0.3% | 6.5% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.8% | -0.3% | 2.5% | 30% |
| 5-day | -0.3% | -0.3% | 8.6% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-12 beat | 0.36 | 0.54 | +50.0% | -8.1% | -3.5% | -3.7% | -18.3% |
| 2019-11-05 beat | 0.33 | 0.39 | +18.2% | -0.1% | -1.8% | +8.9% | +6.2% |
| 2019-08-07 miss | 0.30 | 0.24 | -20.0% | +0.4% | +3.9% | -1.1% | +11.9% |
| 2019-05-08 miss | 0.30 | 0.25 | -15.7% | +0.2% | +1.2% | -21.5% | -27.9% |
| 2019-02-13 miss | 0.47 | 0.41 | -12.8% | +2.6% | +2.7% | +7.4% | +11.6% |
| 2018-11-07 beat | 0.31 | 0.50 | +61.3% | +0.3% | +14.1% | -6.6% | +6.4% |
| 2018-08-08 miss | 0.52 | 0.33 | -36.5% | -6.1% | -3.8% | +0.3% | +2.1% |
| 2018-05-09 miss | 0.58 | 0.35 | -39.7% | -1.2% | -4.6% | +2.1% | +5.0% |
| 2018-02-14 miss | 0.62 | 0.50 | -18.8% | -3.4% | +0.5% | -4.6% | -1.4% |
| 2017-11-09 miss | 0.48 | 0.33 | -30.5% | -3.7% | -4.3% | +5.6% | +7.5% |
| 2017-08-08 beat | 0.41 | 0.49 | +19.5% | +8.1% | +12.2% | -11.0% | -13.9% |
| 2017-05-09 miss | 0.46 | 0.23 | -50.0% | -2.3% | -6.1% | -0.5% | +3.1% |
| 2017-02-07 miss | 0.41 | 0.30 | -26.3% | -9.1% | -5.2% | -0.9% | +2.4% |
| 2016-11-07 beat | 0.38 | 0.45 | +19.5% | +2.3% | +3.8% | +4.7% | +17.3% |
| 2016-08-08 miss | 0.43 | 0.38 | -11.6% | +1.5% | +8.4% | -14.6% | -11.3% |
| 2016-05-09 beat | 0.34 | 0.40 | +18.5% | +3.7% | +2.1% | -2.5% | +2.5% |
| 2016-02-09 miss | 0.31 | 0.30 | -4.8% | +0.8% | +8.2% | +3.4% | +12.9% |
| 2015-11-05 beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +1.8% | -0.2% | -1.4% | -11.1% | -14.3% |
| 2015-08-06 miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -6.9% | -4.1% | -1.5% | +4.6% | +4.4% |
| 2015-05-07 beat | 0.22 | 0.30 | +39.0% | +5.4% | +7.3% | +5.8% | +40.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.