TK chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | -1.1% | 7.3% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -1.1% | 5.0% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.2% | 3.9% | 45% |
| 5-day | -3.0% | -1.1% | 11.7% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-27 beat | 0.08 | 0.31 | +287.5% | +10.8% | +11.8% | -2.5% | -13.0% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | -0.09 | -0.13 | -44.4% | +0.5% | -2.9% | -17.4% | -13.9% |
| 2019-02-21 miss | 0.05 | -0.02 | -140.0% | +4.1% | +6.9% | -1.4% | -2.9% |
| 2018-11-15 | — | -0.11 | — | -1.1% | -8.0% | -27.2% | -37.6% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | -0.34 | -0.21 | +38.2% | +3.5% | +3.3% | -0.7% | -4.9% |
| 2018-05-17 miss | -0.08 | -0.19 | -137.5% | -3.8% | -9.9% | -4.6% | +0.1% |
| 2018-02-22 beat | -0.24 | -0.11 | +54.2% | +1.2% | +2.0% | -1.3% | +0.1% |
| 2017-11-09 beat | -0.45 | -0.41 | +8.9% | +4.1% | +9.6% | -4.4% | -5.2% |
| 2017-08-03 miss | -0.36 | -0.44 | -20.6% | -1.8% | +0.6% | -8.7% | -10.5% |
| 2017-05-18 miss | 0.11 | -0.41 | -472.7% | -7.0% | -11.2% | -3.9% | -15.3% |
| 2017-02-23 miss | -0.08 | -0.22 | -164.0% | -7.2% | -4.0% | -5.4% | -12.1% |
| 2016-11-03 beat | -0.37 | -0.23 | +38.3% | -2.0% | -2.0% | +8.9% | +39.0% |
| 2016-08-04 beat | -0.06 | 0.01 | +116.7% | +7.0% | +4.8% | +6.4% | +21.4% |
| 2016-05-19 miss | 0.17 | -0.08 | -148.4% | -6.6% | -2.2% | +9.2% | -16.9% |
| 2016-02-18 beat | 0.33 | 0.40 | +22.4% | +9.9% | +16.6% | -6.8% | +23.8% |
| 2015-11-05 miss | 0.26 | 0.04 | -84.5% | +0.9% | -5.7% | -7.1% | -28.8% |
| 2015-08-06 beat | 0.21 | 0.27 | +27.8% | +4.4% | +6.2% | +1.8% | +1.2% |
| 2015-05-14 beat | 0.05 | 0.22 | +307.4% | -1.3% | -0.5% | -2.5% | -7.5% |
| 2015-02-19 beat | 0.28 | 0.42 | +51.2% | -2.3% | -1.8% | -4.5% | -0.8% |
| 2014-11-06 miss | 0.03 | -0.17 | -728.2% | -1.7% | -4.2% | +0.1% | -11.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.