HBModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+3.7%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Dec 7): -0.6% median,
50% of the last 16 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 37
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.09%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.75 +4.0% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$109M/day volume
62% volatility
+34% 1-year
-35% from ATH
52-week range · 37% of the way up · -35% from the high
$14.34$32.15
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, before open, in 7 days) · EPS est. 0.34.
1-day std dev
6.7%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+23.5%
Biggest drop
-13.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 0.25 | 0.28 | +13.6% | -3.7% | +0.9% | +18.9% |
| 2026-05-01 | beat | 0.34 | 0.40 | +16.6% | +3.8% | -1.3% | +8.3% |
| 2026-02-20 | miss | 0.39 | 0.22 | -43.0% | -4.0% | +1.0% | +14.5% |
| 2025-11-12 | miss | 0.06 | 0.03 | -50.8% | -0.6% | +2.4% | -6.7% |
| 2025-08-13 | beat | 0.10 | 0.19 | +90.0% | +17.5% | +15.0% | +11.6% |
| 2025-05-12 | beat | 0.11 | 0.24 | +112.2% | +9.2% | +8.0% | +7.0% |
| 2025-02-19 | beat | 0.18 | 0.18 | +2.9% | -9.8% | -13.6% | -17.3% |
| 2024-11-13 | beat | 0.05 | 0.13 | +175.1% | +4.4% | +0.7% | +5.3% |
| 2024-08-13 | miss | 0.06 | — | -100.0% | -8.7% | -1.1% | +7.5% |
| 2024-05-14 | beat | 0.04 | 0.16 | +344.4% | +4.1% | +14.2% | +17.7% |
| 2024-02-23 | beat | 0.12 | 0.20 | +62.3% | +4.8% | +4.3% | +13.2% |
| 2023-11-09 | miss | 0.08 | 0.07 | -15.9% | -1.2% | +1.7% | +6.1% |
| 2023-08-08 | miss | 0.04 | -0.07 | -280.4% | -3.8% | -1.4% | -15.4% |
| 2023-05-08 | miss | 0.02 | — | -100.0% | -2.5% | -2.3% | -10.2% |
| 2023-02-23 | miss | 0.03 | 0.01 | -69.5% | -7.3% | -3.5% | +12.0% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | -0.09 | -0.05 | +46.5% | +0.5% | +8.4% | +33.2% |
| 2022-08-08 | miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -4.7% | +0.2% | +3.8% | +12.7% |
| 2022-05-09 | miss | 0.10 | 0.02 | -79.0% | -1.1% | -3.1% | +5.5% |
| 2022-02-23 | beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +6.0% | -3.9% | -3.9% | +7.3% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.04 | 0.15 | +298.0% | +5.4% | +1.8% | +9.2% |
| 2021-08-09 | miss | 0.08 | 0.02 | -75.6% | -1.2% | +1.9% | -6.5% |
| 2021-05-11 | miss | 0.04 | -0.06 | -260.5% | -4.4% | -7.5% | -17.5% |
| 2021-02-17 | beat | -0.07 | -0.06 | +8.2% | +0.3% | +4.5% | +9.2% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | -0.12 | -0.10 | +15.8% | +2.4% | +8.5% | +13.1% |
| 2020-08-11 | beat | -0.20 | -0.15 | +25.3% | +7.0% | +11.4% | +23.6% |
| 2020-05-13 | beat | -0.13 | -0.13 | +0.7% | -2.8% | -6.0% | +14.7% |
| 2020-02-20 | miss | -0.06 | -0.10 | -55.1% | -4.0% | -12.0% | -24.4% |
| 2019-11-11 | miss | -0.08 | -0.08 | -6.4% | -10.1% | -7.9% | -6.0% |
| 2019-08-08 | miss | — | -0.04 | -988.9% | -1.1% | -3.9% | -7.9% |
| 2019-05-06 | miss | 0.04 | 0.03 | -27.2% | -5.1% | -11.5% | -22.7% |
| 2019-02-19 | beat | 0.01 | 0.05 | +362.5% | +2.2% | +3.8% | +8.5% |
| 2018-10-31 | beat | — | 0.09 | +180100.0% | +8.4% | +23.5% | +28.9% |
| 2018-07-31 | miss | 0.13 | 0.09 | -32.0% | -2.9% | -4.8% | -2.9% |
| 2018-05-02 | miss | 0.19 | 0.15 | -20.5% | -0.7% | +0.7% | +5.8% |
| 2018-02-21 | beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +4.2% | +7.4% | +1.8% | -6.7% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +6.5% | +1.9% | +0.0% | +3.9% |
| 2017-08-03 | miss | 0.14 | 0.09 | -36.1% | -3.9% | -3.2% | -7.8% |
| 2017-05-03 | miss | 0.12 | 0.02 | -83.9% | -7.0% | -6.1% | -5.2% |
| 2017-02-22 | miss | 0.10 | 0.09 | -9.4% | -4.2% | -6.6% | -3.6% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | 0.05 | 0.09 | +67.7% | -1.2% | +4.7% | +37.2% |
| 2016-07-27 | beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +74.7% | -5.6% | +2.0% | -7.4% |
| 2016-04-28 | miss | -0.02 | -0.07 | -187.5% | +6.2% | +9.9% | -9.7% |
| 2016-02-24 | beat | 0.09 | 0.13 | +39.7% | -2.7% | +3.5% | +47.7% |
| 2015-11-05 | miss | 0.07 | 0.04 | -46.6% | +0.2% | +7.6% | -19.4% |
| 2015-07-29 | miss | 0.08 | -0.06 | -176.0% | +1.5% | -7.9% | -5.0% |
| 2015-05-07 | miss | 0.02 | — | -102.2% | +2.4% | +2.9% | +3.2% |
| 2015-02-19 | beat | 0.01 | 0.17 | +1835.9% | -1.2% | -1.7% | +3.1% |
| 2014-10-29 | miss | 0.05 | -0.02 | -133.4% | -2.2% | -4.0% | -10.2% |
| 2014-07-30 | miss | 0.04 | -0.02 | -145.0% | -1.7% | +1.3% | -6.1% |
| 2014-04-30 | miss | 0.01 | -0.05 | -650.4% | -3.4% | +0.8% | -3.2% |
| 2014-02-19 | miss | 0.01 | -0.04 | -437.2% | -2.9% | -5.6% | -7.4% |
| 2013-11-08 | miss | 0.02 | 0.02 | -18.7% | +0.4% | -2.0% | -4.0% |
| 2013-07-31 | beat | -0.02 | -0.01 | +60.7% | -3.0% | -5.8% | -7.7% |
| 2013-05-01 | miss | 0.02 | 0.02 | -27.4% | +2.2% | +2.0% | +7.8% |
| 2013-02-20 | miss | 0.02 | — | -96.7% | -4.5% | -7.4% | -3.7% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +105.0% | +0.6% | +0.4% | +1.8% |
| 2012-08-14 | miss | 0.07 | 0.05 | -32.3% | +0.8% | -2.2% | +2.3% |
| 2012-05-09 | miss | 0.12 | 0.11 | -9.1% | +1.1% | +1.1% | -13.6% |
| 2012-03-07 | miss | 0.15 | -0.12 | -177.2% | +3.4% | +5.6% | +5.4% |
| 2011-11-02 | beat | 0.25 | 0.25 | +0.7% | +1.5% | +1.4% | -4.2% |
Not investment advice.
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