PMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-1.3%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
+2.4%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 9): -13.9% median,
33% of the last 18 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 72
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -1.32%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.78 +2.7% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$1M/day volume
124% volatility
-59% 1-year
52-week range · 6% of the way up · -85% from the high
$2.78$27.40
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, after close, in 3 days).
1-day std dev
6.7%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+10.2%
Biggest drop
-11.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 12 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | beat | -1.90 | -1.78 | +6.2% | +3.3% | +0.5% | -1.9% |
| 2026-03-25 | miss | -6.71 | -30.05 | -348.1% | +0.1% | -9.1% | -25.4% |
| 2025-11-12 | beat | -9.99 | -8.40 | +15.9% | +2.5% | +2.5% | +5.0% |
| 2025-08-13 | miss | -6.04 | -9.98 | -65.3% | -2.9% | +0.0% | -25.7% |
| 2025-08-07 | -0.22 | — | — | +0.0% | -6.8% | +6.8% | |
| 2025-05-12 | miss | -4.30 | -7.35 | -71.0% | +18.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2025-03-31 | beat | -5.01 | -0.72 | +85.7% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -17.1% |
| 2024-11-14 | beat | -2.42 | 10.86 | +547.9% | +1.0% | +1.0% | -2.0% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | -4.85 | -4.47 | +7.9% | -9.4% | -11.5% | -11.5% |
| 2024-05-14 | beat | -6.87 | -6.48 | +5.7% | +0.5% | -7.2% | -9.3% |
| 2024-04-01 | beat | -5.85 | -3.05 | +47.8% | -3.4% | +10.2% | +21.5% |
| 2023-11-14 | beat | -11.42 | -6.52 | +43.0% | +8.3% | +9.1% | +6.1% |
Not investment advice.
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