VRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+1.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 8): +5.3% median,
69% of the last 16 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 68
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.90 +1.1% · Seasonal tilt +0.2%
$19M/day volume
36% volatility
-22% 1-year
-62% from ATH
52-week range · 18% of the way up · -28% from the high
$116.71$175.66
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, before open, in 1 day) · EPS est. 5.78.
1-day std dev
5.9%
Finished up
60%
Biggest pop
+19.8%
Biggest drop
-13.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | miss | 6.09 | 5.54 | -9.0% | -2.4% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 2026-05-01 | miss | 5.67 | 5.38 | -5.1% | -6.6% | -6.6% | -1.1% |
| 2026-02-06 | 6.50 | 6.50 | — | -2.6% | -7.1% | -8.5% | |
| 2025-10-24 | miss | 6.77 | 6.69 | -1.2% | -0.1% | -6.2% | -8.2% |
| 2025-07-25 | beat | 6.21 | 6.25 | +0.6% | -3.3% | -7.5% | -11.2% |
| 2025-04-25 | beat | 5.41 | 5.73 | +5.9% | -1.3% | -2.3% | +1.5% |
| 2025-01-31 | beat | 7.43 | 7.50 | +1.0% | -1.8% | -5.5% | -10.5% |
| 2024-10-25 | beat | 6.80 | 6.92 | +1.8% | +5.0% | +0.4% | +1.9% |
| 2024-07-26 | miss | 6.61 | 6.53 | -1.2% | -1.5% | -4.6% | -15.7% |
| 2024-04-26 | beat | 5.41 | 5.41 | +0.1% | -5.5% | -1.4% | -1.8% |
| 2024-02-02 | beat | 5.96 | 6.11 | +2.6% | -2.3% | -3.4% | -2.1% |
| 2023-10-27 | beat | 6.17 | 6.21 | +0.7% | -2.7% | +0.3% | +15.8% |
| 2023-07-28 | miss | 5.89 | 5.43 | -7.7% | -4.1% | -4.3% | -2.3% |
| 2023-04-28 | beat | 3.82 | 4.20 | +10.1% | +0.9% | +2.3% | -5.2% |
| 2023-02-03 | beat | 4.88 | 5.17 | +6.0% | -0.2% | +6.2% | -7.6% |
| 2022-10-26 | miss | 6.39 | 5.76 | -9.9% | +1.0% | +0.3% | -2.1% |
| 2022-07-29 | miss | 7.06 | 6.86 | -2.8% | -0.9% | +1.9% | +1.3% |
| 2022-04-29 | miss | 7.91 | 7.87 | -0.4% | +2.8% | -3.7% | -5.0% |
| 2022-02-04 | beat | 9.93 | 10.36 | +4.4% | +7.1% | +7.6% | +2.3% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 9.61 | 9.71 | +1.1% | -5.2% | -6.8% | -1.1% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 8.10 | 9.07 | +12.0% | +1.5% | +2.4% | +8.4% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 5.44 | 6.78 | +24.6% | +3.6% | +4.4% | +5.1% |
| 2021-02-02 | beat | 4.95 | 5.15 | +4.0% | +8.3% | +5.6% | +12.8% |
| 2020-10-23 | beat | 4.42 | 4.49 | +1.7% | +0.8% | +5.1% | -5.6% |
| 2020-07-24 | beat | 3.01 | 3.24 | +7.8% | +3.7% | +1.2% | +2.9% |
| 2020-05-01 | beat | 3.10 | 3.32 | +7.2% | +3.6% | +14.4% | +17.5% |
| 2020-01-31 | beat | 4.13 | 4.32 | +4.7% | +1.6% | -2.8% | +6.1% |
| 2019-10-25 | beat | 3.76 | 4.03 | +7.2% | +8.0% | +3.1% | +10.9% |
| 2019-07-26 | beat | 3.49 | 3.63 | +4.1% | +6.6% | +7.2% | -4.3% |
| 2019-04-26 | beat | 2.41 | 2.73 | +13.4% | +1.4% | +2.6% | +1.6% |
| 2019-02-01 | miss | 3.06 | 3.06 | -0.1% | +2.5% | +0.2% | +3.2% |
| 2018-10-26 | beat | 3.34 | 3.64 | +8.9% | +4.3% | +0.6% | -1.1% |
| 2018-07-27 | miss | 3.03 | 2.97 | -2.0% | -0.6% | -0.2% | -1.7% |
| 2018-04-27 | beat | 2.43 | 2.59 | +6.4% | +0.9% | +0.6% | +1.2% |
| 2018-02-02 | beat | 2.43 | 2.60 | +6.9% | -0.2% | +0.3% | -6.5% |
| 2017-10-27 | miss | 2.34 | 2.30 | -1.8% | +0.0% | -2.4% | -3.5% |
| 2017-07-28 | miss | 1.62 | 1.61 | -0.8% | -1.9% | -2.4% | -0.3% |
| 2017-04-28 | miss | 1.66 | 1.16 | -30.2% | -1.5% | -4.4% | -7.6% |
| 2017-01-25 | miss | 1.80 | 1.75 | -2.9% | -0.6% | +0.5% | -12.4% |
| 2016-10-28 | beat | 1.48 | 1.64 | +10.5% | +14.4% | +19.8% | +7.3% |
| 2016-07-29 | miss | 1.32 | 1.24 | -6.1% | -1.6% | +1.4% | +11.1% |
| 2016-04-29 | beat | 1.08 | 1.12 | +4.1% | +2.9% | +14.7% | +8.7% |
| 2016-01-29 | miss | 1.51 | 1.37 | -9.6% | -1.4% | -3.8% | -6.3% |
| 2015-10-30 | miss | 2.01 | 1.74 | -13.4% | +0.7% | +14.7% | +27.3% |
| 2015-07-31 | beat | 2.15 | 2.21 | +2.6% | +1.4% | +2.5% | +2.4% |
| 2015-05-11 | miss | 2.37 | 2.22 | -6.1% | -3.4% | -13.2% | -12.3% |
| 2015-01-29 | miss | 2.41 | 2.05 | -14.9% | -1.7% | +2.4% | +5.7% |
| 2014-10-28 | beat | 2.53 | 3.05 | +20.6% | +11.5% | +2.7% | +8.7% |
| 2014-07-28 | miss | 2.51 | 2.10 | -16.2% | -0.4% | +0.8% | -1.4% |
| 2014-04-29 | beat | 2.33 | 2.34 | +0.4% | -1.0% | +3.4% | +5.2% |
| 2014-01-28 | beat | 2.42 | 2.65 | +9.3% | -1.2% | -5.9% | -8.3% |
| 2013-10-29 | beat | 2.27 | 2.56 | +13.0% | +3.2% | +11.3% | +11.0% |
| 2013-07-30 | miss | 1.98 | 1.91 | -3.5% | -0.1% | +0.2% | +1.3% |
| 2013-04-30 | beat | 1.69 | 1.73 | +2.4% | +1.1% | -0.8% | +11.8% |
| 2013-01-29 | beat | 1.46 | 1.50 | +3.0% | -0.3% | +0.2% | +8.0% |
| 2012-10-31 | beat | 1.18 | 1.43 | +21.6% | +0.3% | +6.2% | +6.2% |
| 2012-07-31 | beat | 0.82 | 1.40 | +71.5% | +1.1% | -2.1% | +1.7% |
| 2012-05-01 | beat | 0.59 | 1.02 | +72.9% | -1.3% | -0.6% | -6.1% |
| 2011-08-02 | beat | 0.39 | 0.65 | +66.7% | +0.6% | +1.9% | -22.8% |
| 2011-05-02 | beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +4.7% | +0.6% | +3.0% | +18.4% |
Not investment advice.
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