ABCB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +0.0% | 2.8% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.3% | 1.8% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.2% | 2.3% | 40% |
| 5-day | +2.3% | +2.0% | 6.5% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 miss | 1.66 | 1.60 | -3.6% | -2.4% | -1.6% | -0.6% | -2.0% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 1.56 | 1.63 | +4.8% | +2.0% | +0.3% | +0.8% | +1.0% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 1.58 | 1.59 | +0.9% | -2.0% | -0.8% | +6.6% | -1.6% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 1.47 | 1.53 | +4.1% | +1.0% | -1.9% | -0.8% | +4.0% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 1.33 | 1.59 | +19.2% | +0.3% | +5.3% | -3.9% | +5.5% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 1.14 | 1.28 | +12.1% | +0.6% | +3.6% | +1.1% | +4.9% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 1.19 | 1.37 | +14.9% | +2.4% | +0.1% | +3.9% | -7.4% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 1.25 | 1.38 | +10.6% | -0.8% | -2.8% | +1.4% | +18.2% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 1.14 | 1.17 | +2.8% | +2.6% | +1.4% | -8.7% | -0.7% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 1.04 | 1.10 | +5.8% | +1.7% | +0.8% | +4.1% | -0.9% |
| 2024-01-25 miss | 1.10 | 1.07 | -3.1% | +1.5% | -0.1% | -6.7% | -13.9% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.13 | 1.16 | +3.0% | +2.0% | -0.7% | +16.4% | +17.1% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 1.13 | 0.91 | -19.3% | -2.6% | +2.1% | +4.9% | -5.9% |
| 2023-04-27 miss | 1.20 | 0.86 | -28.2% | -3.0% | -0.8% | -8.9% | -3.3% |
| 2023-01-26 miss | 1.34 | 1.17 | -12.7% | -2.8% | -0.7% | +8.0% | +3.0% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 1.33 | 1.32 | -0.9% | +1.8% | +1.0% | -0.1% | +0.6% |
| 2022-07-26 miss | 1.19 | 1.18 | -0.7% | +0.2% | +6.7% | +3.3% | +7.8% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 1.05 | 1.08 | +2.9% | +1.8% | +6.0% | +5.8% | +6.9% |
| 2022-01-27 | 1.17 | 1.17 | — | -2.4% | -1.6% | +0.2% | -4.4% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.18 | 1.20 | +1.9% | -4.6% | -2.3% | +5.2% | -7.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.