ACA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.2% | -1.5% | 9.8% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.1% | 2.6% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +1.3% | +1.3% | 2.6% | 70% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +2.9% | 10.5% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | 1.18 | 1.13 | -4.5% | +0.1% | -0.3% | +0.0% | +0.4% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.35 | 0.81 | +132.0% | -5.5% | -1.4% | +4.2% | -1.5% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.92 | 1.15 | +25.5% | -6.7% | -15.7% | +1.9% | -5.0% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.35 | 1.56 | +15.5% | +3.5% | +10.6% | -2.9% | +4.0% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 1.05 | 1.27 | +21.5% | +3.4% | +12.7% | +0.7% | -0.4% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.18 | 0.49 | +165.8% | +2.6% | -4.6% | +7.9% | +9.1% |
| 2025-02-27 miss | 0.76 | 0.46 | -39.7% | -6.3% | -8.4% | -5.1% | -8.1% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.85 | 0.91 | +7.3% | -1.2% | -1.6% | +10.9% | +15.9% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.83 | 0.91 | +9.4% | -5.2% | -13.0% | +2.8% | +9.0% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.52 | 0.73 | +39.9% | +3.6% | +10.0% | +3.5% | -1.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.