ACT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | +1.6% | 4.1% | 65% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +0.8% | 2.4% | 80% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.1% | 1.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | +2.1% | +0.9% | 4.0% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 1.19 | 1.26 | +6.1% | +0.5% | +1.8% | +2.3% | +1.2% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 1.20 | 1.21 | +1.2% | +0.6% | +1.8% | -0.9% | -2.9% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 1.10 | 1.23 | +12.0% | +4.7% | +9.3% | -1.2% | -6.0% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 1.11 | 1.12 | +0.9% | +3.0% | +2.3% | +2.3% | +3.1% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.11 | 1.15 | +3.9% | -0.6% | +1.0% | +3.3% | +8.3% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 1.09 | 1.10 | +0.9% | +2.7% | +2.2% | -0.3% | -4.3% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 1.08 | 1.09 | +0.7% | -0.3% | +1.5% | -3.0% | +0.0% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 1.09 | 1.16 | +6.8% | +0.5% | -1.6% | +2.0% | +1.4% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 1.03 | 1.27 | +23.1% | +2.0% | -1.6% | -1.0% | +6.2% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.97 | 1.04 | +6.8% | +1.0% | +0.0% | +5.8% | +3.4% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 0.95 | 0.98 | +3.7% | -0.3% | -4.9% | +4.3% | +8.5% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 0.90 | 1.02 | +12.9% | +3.8% | +0.9% | -1.3% | +0.3% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.86 | 1.10 | +28.6% | +5.0% | +4.2% | +4.2% | +1.7% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 0.83 | 1.08 | +30.1% | +0.6% | -6.2% | +6.9% | +12.4% |
| 2023-02-06 beat | 0.83 | 0.90 | +8.1% | +1.0% | -7.2% | +6.3% | +1.9% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 0.87 | 1.17 | +34.4% | +9.6% | +4.5% | -2.8% | -5.1% |
| 2022-08-01 beat | 0.84 | 1.26 | +49.3% | +4.3% | +4.4% | +7.3% | +4.7% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 0.83 | 1.01 | +22.0% | +4.9% | +6.3% | -7.7% | +2.4% |
| 2022-02-01 beat | 0.83 | 0.94 | +13.1% | -2.8% | -2.3% | +3.2% | -6.7% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.80 | 0.84 | +4.6% | +0.0% | +3.2% | -4.5% | -9.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.