AEP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | +0.6% | 2.5% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.1% | 1.7% | 55% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 1.3% | 55% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | +1.1% | 4.6% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 1.48 | 1.36 | -8.2% | -0.5% | -1.3% | -2.0% | -4.3% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 1.57 | 1.64 | +4.6% | +2.8% | +1.8% | -3.7% | -6.7% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 1.15 | 1.19 | +3.6% | +1.6% | +3.4% | +2.3% | +6.1% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 1.81 | 1.80 | -0.3% | +4.5% | +6.1% | -1.9% | +1.4% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.27 | 1.43 | +12.8% | +1.6% | +3.7% | +0.2% | -1.3% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 1.40 | 1.54 | +9.9% | +0.7% | +0.0% | -7.3% | -5.3% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | 1.24 | 1.24 | -0.2% | -1.0% | -1.3% | +4.3% | +4.8% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 1.80 | 1.85 | +3.0% | -1.3% | -4.1% | -3.0% | -0.4% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 1.23 | 1.25 | +1.3% | -1.1% | +1.1% | +0.2% | +0.4% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 1.26 | 1.27 | +1.1% | +1.0% | -0.7% | +4.5% | +2.5% |
| 2024-02-26 miss | 1.26 | 1.23 | -2.3% | +3.5% | +4.1% | +0.0% | +0.9% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 1.70 | 1.77 | +4.0% | -0.4% | +3.6% | -2.5% | +1.1% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 1.14 | 1.13 | -0.6% | -0.4% | -2.7% | -3.8% | -7.0% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 1.12 | 1.11 | -0.8% | -0.3% | +0.6% | -0.8% | -8.1% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 0.99 | 1.05 | +5.8% | -0.7% | -0.1% | -3.0% | -1.8% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.56 | 1.62 | +3.6% | -1.5% | -0.3% | +1.7% | +9.2% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 1.19 | 1.20 | +0.9% | -1.6% | -0.1% | +3.4% | +7.4% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 1.20 | 1.22 | +2.1% | +0.5% | +2.9% | -2.7% | +1.1% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 0.92 | 0.98 | +6.2% | +3.0% | +2.3% | +8.6% | +11.9% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | 1.45 | 1.43 | -1.3% | +0.0% | +0.5% | -1.0% | -1.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.