AGCO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | -0.9% | 5.5% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +1.5% | 3.3% | 55% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.3% | 2.0% | 45% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | -0.3% | 8.5% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 1.48 | 1.43 | -3.1% | -5.3% | -7.8% | -5.1% | +5.8% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.44 | 0.94 | +113.2% | -4.7% | -5.5% | +3.0% | +4.6% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 1.86 | 2.17 | +16.8% | +5.0% | +2.2% | +11.7% | -0.3% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 1.22 | 1.35 | +10.7% | +1.9% | -2.8% | +2.3% | +1.1% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.08 | 1.35 | +25.2% | +9.0% | +10.6% | -5.3% | -8.3% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.04 | 0.41 | +976.4% | +7.7% | +10.1% | +5.0% | +5.4% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.83 | 1.97 | +7.5% | +0.7% | -5.1% | -4.0% | +4.6% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | 1.08 | 0.68 | -36.9% | -2.0% | -7.8% | +0.1% | +8.0% |
| 2024-07-30 miss | 2.96 | 2.53 | -14.6% | -6.1% | -5.7% | -9.6% | -6.1% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 2.32 | 2.32 | -0.0% | -1.9% | -1.3% | +5.1% | -4.8% |
| 2024-02-06 miss | 4.03 | 3.78 | -6.3% | +7.6% | +1.0% | -7.7% | -7.5% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 3.39 | 3.97 | +17.2% | +2.2% | +2.2% | -0.5% | -1.0% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 3.68 | 4.29 | +16.5% | -1.3% | -3.1% | -3.2% | -10.1% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 2.71 | 3.51 | +29.4% | +6.7% | +2.7% | -0.5% | -12.8% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 3.89 | 4.47 | +14.8% | +0.2% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +2.0% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 3.16 | 3.18 | +0.5% | -1.6% | -5.9% | +6.0% | +12.5% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 2.11 | 2.38 | +12.8% | -0.1% | -0.6% | +3.0% | +7.2% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 1.90 | 2.39 | +25.5% | +1.9% | +1.2% | -7.4% | -0.3% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 1.76 | 3.08 | +74.6% | +10.4% | +8.9% | +5.7% | +2.9% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.85 | 2.41 | +30.0% | -3.6% | -1.8% | -1.6% | -8.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.