ALLY chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.3% | -0.5% | 6.5% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.7% | 2.8% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.3% | 2.1% | 45% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | -3.5% | 8.9% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 miss | 1.22 | 1.21 | -1.0% | -1.7% | -2.4% | -0.7% | -3.0% |
| 2026-04-17 beat | 0.94 | 1.11 | +17.9% | +5.2% | +8.1% | -2.6% | -7.2% |
| 2026-01-21 beat | 1.02 | 1.09 | +6.5% | -4.6% | +0.0% | -0.3% | -0.7% |
| 2025-10-17 beat | 1.01 | 1.15 | +14.1% | +4.0% | +3.6% | +5.0% | -5.3% |
| 2025-07-18 beat | 0.81 | 0.99 | +22.1% | -0.6% | -0.9% | -3.4% | -3.7% |
| 2025-04-17 miss | 0.07 | -0.82 | -1322.1% | +1.2% | -1.7% | +4.1% | +14.1% |
| 2025-01-22 beat | 0.58 | 0.78 | +34.3% | +8.4% | +3.9% | -1.9% | -5.4% |
| 2024-10-18 beat | 0.52 | 0.95 | +81.3% | -8.2% | -2.3% | -1.7% | +2.0% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 0.63 | 0.97 | +53.5% | -4.4% | -2.3% | -2.7% | -4.2% |
| 2024-04-18 beat | 0.33 | 0.45 | +36.2% | +3.4% | +6.7% | +1.1% | +3.6% |
| 2024-01-19 miss | 0.45 | 0.45 | -0.8% | +2.7% | +10.7% | +5.8% | +3.1% |
| 2023-10-18 beat | 0.80 | 0.83 | +4.0% | -0.3% | +0.9% | -8.5% | +6.0% |
| 2023-07-19 beat | 0.94 | 0.96 | +2.4% | +0.2% | +5.4% | -1.5% | -9.3% |
| 2023-04-19 miss | 0.87 | 0.82 | -5.6% | +0.1% | +2.2% | -5.9% | -0.6% |
| 2023-01-20 beat | 0.98 | 1.08 | +10.5% | +10.0% | +20.0% | +2.9% | -5.2% |
| 2022-10-19 miss | 1.73 | 1.12 | -35.4% | -9.4% | -7.9% | +2.8% | -0.8% |
| 2022-07-19 miss | 1.87 | 1.76 | -5.7% | -4.5% | -3.6% | -4.6% | +7.9% |
| 2022-04-14 beat | 1.93 | 2.03 | +5.2% | -2.0% | -5.0% | +0.9% | -6.0% |
| 2022-01-21 beat | 1.97 | 2.02 | +2.6% | -3.2% | -3.9% | -0.6% | +4.7% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 1.94 | 2.16 | +11.3% | -0.7% | -5.1% | -9.5% | -9.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.