AMBA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -5.7% | -6.8% | 14.6% | 35% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.0% | 3.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -1.1% | -1.1% | 4.0% | 40% |
| 5-day | -8.0% | -3.5% | 17.3% | 32% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +5.3% | -0.3% | -0.8% | — | — |
| 2026-05-28 beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +5.4% | -10.1% | -21.4% | -12.0% | +18.9% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +26.7% | -13.9% | -14.9% | -13.2% | -19.4% |
| 2025-11-25 beat | 0.21 | 0.27 | +29.6% | -12.1% | -18.8% | -3.8% | -5.2% |
| 2025-08-28 beat | 0.05 | 0.15 | +177.1% | +18.2% | +16.8% | +1.8% | +0.0% |
| 2025-05-29 beat | 0.04 | 0.07 | +83.1% | -4.7% | -15.1% | +1.8% | +22.4% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | -0.02 | 0.11 | +651.4% | +7.0% | -17.1% | -14.8% | -19.4% |
| 2024-11-26 beat | 0.04 | 0.11 | +214.2% | +16.6% | +5.9% | -4.3% | -1.0% |
| 2024-08-27 beat | -0.19 | -0.13 | +32.5% | +20.3% | +10.6% | -7.4% | -3.4% |
| 2024-05-30 beat | -0.31 | -0.26 | +16.9% | +20.1% | +20.6% | -2.3% | -3.7% |
| 2024-02-27 beat | -0.33 | -0.24 | +26.9% | +12.1% | +0.1% | -3.5% | -12.5% |
| 2023-11-30 beat | -0.39 | -0.28 | +28.3% | +3.5% | -0.3% | -1.2% | -3.1% |
| 2023-08-29 beat | -0.18 | -0.15 | +18.9% | -22.8% | -20.4% | +0.1% | -12.1% |
| 2023-05-30 beat | -0.21 | -0.15 | +27.3% | -16.2% | -11.8% | +11.2% | +15.7% |
| 2023-02-28 beat | 0.15 | 0.23 | +54.9% | -7.5% | -11.5% | -0.5% | -8.2% |
| 2022-12-01 beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +20.9% | -6.0% | +3.3% | +2.2% | +3.8% |
| 2022-08-30 beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +3.2% | -9.3% | -19.7% | +0.8% | -17.2% |
| 2022-05-31 beat | 0.37 | 0.44 | +19.5% | -6.4% | -2.1% | -0.9% | -24.1% |
| 2022-02-28 beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +6.2% | -20.4% | -31.3% | -7.7% | +10.1% |
| 2021-11-30 beat | 0.49 | 0.57 | +16.6% | +14.8% | +14.1% | +5.8% | -1.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.