AMTD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.0% | +3.5% | 2.3% | 75% |
| Day 2 | -2.5% | -2.5% | 2.3% | 0% |
| Day 3 | -2.3% | -2.4% | 1.5% | 0% |
| 5-day | -2.4% | -0.9% | 3.7% | 25% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-04-28 beat | 0.66 | 1.12 | +69.8% | -3.0% | +2.5% | -4.3% | -4.1% |
| 2020-12-31 miss | 0.66 | 0.29 | -55.5% | -0.2% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020-04-30 miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -3.2% | +2.6% | +5.1% | -12.3% | -20.7% |
| 2019-12-31 beat | 0.54 | 1.06 | +95.4% | +0.0% | +4.4% | -4.1% | -7.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.