BBAI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -10.0% | -9.7% | 10.8% | 21% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -2.7% | 6.4% | 37% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | +0.0% | 5.1% | 47% |
| 5-day | -9.2% | -8.8% | 15.2% | 21% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | -0.04 | -0.05 | -11.1% | -1.1% | -1.4% | +17.2% | +12.2% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | -0.08 | -0.12 | -50.0% | -1.4% | +5.6% | -3.7% | -3.9% |
| 2026-03-02 beat | -0.06 | -0.01 | +83.3% | -4.1% | -7.3% | +7.1% | -10.0% |
| 2025-11-10 beat | -0.07 | 0.01 | +113.6% | +21.9% | +6.1% | -1.3% | +11.2% |
| 2025-08-11 miss | -0.06 | -0.71 | -1021.1% | -31.6% | -15.8% | -7.9% | -18.4% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | -0.06 | -0.25 | -341.1% | -6.6% | +0.6% | -6.0% | +12.8% |
| 2025-03-06 miss | -0.05 | -0.43 | -760.0% | -16.0% | -20.5% | +5.7% | -12.3% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | -0.07 | -0.02 | +66.0% | -7.4% | -9.7% | +7.5% | +112.6% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | -0.06 | -0.04 | +36.2% | -6.4% | -4.3% | -9.7% | +7.5% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -0.06 | -0.04 | +32.4% | -12.1% | -13.9% | -6.7% | -0.7% |
| 2024-03-07 beat | -0.05 | -0.01 | +78.4% | -25.3% | -31.6% | -5.1% | -28.0% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | -0.06 | -0.03 | +44.5% | +5.1% | -4.5% | +29.5% | +16.8% |
| 2023-08-08 miss | -0.06 | -0.06 | -3.8% | +0.6% | -10.2% | -3.8% | +6.3% |
| 2023-05-09 miss | -0.06 | -0.07 | -13.5% | -1.7% | -14.1% | -5.9% | -20.0% |
| 2023-03-13 beat | -0.08 | -0.06 | +21.0% | -9.2% | -18.0% | +0.0% | +49.2% |
| 2022-11-09 beat | -0.09 | -0.08 | +12.2% | -5.9% | +2.0% | -3.2% | -12.6% |
| 2022-08-09 miss | -0.07 | -0.10 | -44.9% | -17.9% | -27.0% | -13.0% | -29.0% |
| 2022-05-09 miss | -0.04 | -0.06 | -54.8% | +3.0% | -2.8% | -5.1% | -35.6% |
| 2022-03-17 miss | -0.02 | -1.02 | -5000.0% | -16.0% | -22.3% | +17.4% | +72.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.