BGS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.7% | +2.0% | 13.2% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -1.1% | -0.5% | 3.7% | 47% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.5% | 3.6% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +1.2% | 14.3% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 beat | 0.06 | 0.06 | +6.8% | +1.5% | +5.0% | -0.8% | -12.0% |
| 2026-03-03 miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -7.0% | +9.1% | +16.2% | -8.5% | -15.3% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.11 | 0.15 | +35.6% | +6.8% | +24.6% | -8.3% | -7.9% |
| 2025-08-04 miss | 0.06 | 0.04 | -32.7% | -2.9% | -2.7% | +4.0% | +16.3% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | 0.16 | 0.04 | -74.2% | -6.3% | -25.2% | -9.7% | -7.8% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 0.30 | 0.31 | +3.0% | +2.3% | +2.9% | -4.1% | -6.4% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | 0.20 | 0.13 | -34.5% | -8.2% | -19.8% | -11.0% | -2.7% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 0.10 | 0.08 | -19.0% | -1.6% | -2.7% | -1.4% | +3.2% |
| 2024-05-08 miss | 0.21 | 0.18 | -15.4% | -10.6% | -28.3% | +15.3% | +12.2% |
| 2024-02-27 beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +1.0% | +9.5% | +21.3% | -2.5% | +0.4% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +15.9% | +3.7% | +0.7% | +5.6% | +16.6% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.10 | 0.15 | +48.5% | +5.4% | +8.1% | -9.4% | -15.3% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +8.0% | -2.6% | -2.5% | -14.4% | -14.5% |
| 2023-02-28 beat | 0.22 | 0.40 | +85.4% | +15.1% | +28.5% | -5.7% | -6.0% |
| 2022-11-09 miss | 0.33 | 0.31 | -4.8% | -4.1% | +2.9% | -13.1% | -16.9% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 0.25 | 0.07 | -72.0% | -8.1% | -7.5% | +0.1% | -15.4% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 0.39 | 0.34 | -11.8% | -3.0% | -10.0% | +1.4% | -8.9% |
| 2022-03-01 miss | 0.42 | 0.39 | -8.1% | -1.1% | +0.0% | -2.7% | -7.9% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 0.57 | 0.55 | -3.7% | -6.0% | +2.2% | -0.9% | -10.4% |
| 2021-08-05 miss | 0.48 | 0.41 | -14.0% | +0.1% | +3.3% | +3.3% | +3.5% |
| 2021-05-11 miss | 0.55 | 0.52 | -6.2% | -0.4% | +0.0% | +3.3% | +15.2% |
| 2021-03-02 miss | 0.45 | 0.35 | -21.6% | -7.0% | -7.2% | +12.3% | +7.3% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.66 | 0.74 | +11.6% | +1.0% | +1.7% | -4.4% | +0.3% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.60 | 0.71 | +18.1% | +3.3% | +4.8% | +2.2% | +7.7% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +3.0% | +6.2% | +7.5% | +18.4% | +17.8% |
| 2020-02-25 miss | 0.28 | 0.28 | -0.8% | +10.0% | +23.2% | +6.4% | +6.3% |
| 2019-10-31 miss | 0.57 | 0.54 | -5.0% | -1.3% | +2.8% | +7.4% | +3.8% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +8.8% | +8.4% | +11.6% | -4.4% | -13.6% |
| 2019-05-02 miss | 0.49 | 0.44 | -10.3% | -6.0% | -8.9% | -1.1% | -0.1% |
| 2019-02-26 miss | 0.50 | 0.34 | -31.8% | -5.9% | -1.5% | +0.9% | +0.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.