BHF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.1% | -2.0% | 4.2% | 25% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.5% | 2.4% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.2% | 2.7% | 50% |
| 5-day | -2.2% | -2.6% | 6.2% | 35% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | 4.77 | 4.45 | -6.7% | +0.4% | +0.5% | -4.2% | -13.8% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | 4.47 | 4.35 | -2.6% | -0.6% | -1.4% | -0.4% | +1.4% |
| 2026-02-23 miss | 5.19 | 3.70 | -28.7% | -1.1% | -1.1% | -3.4% | -2.1% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 4.09 | 7.89 | +92.8% | +0.0% | +0.5% | -0.3% | -0.9% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 4.39 | 3.43 | -21.8% | -4.8% | -3.4% | +2.6% | +9.6% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 3.47 | -5.04 | -245.3% | -3.0% | +1.5% | +3.8% | -1.8% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 4.31 | 5.07 | +17.7% | +0.8% | +0.0% | +5.8% | -4.9% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 3.02 | 2.47 | -18.3% | +3.5% | -1.1% | +0.9% | -4.1% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 4.37 | 5.57 | +27.3% | -6.2% | -5.0% | +0.0% | -0.7% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 3.87 | 4.25 | +9.8% | -3.6% | -10.4% | -0.3% | -6.4% |
| 2024-02-12 miss | 3.69 | 2.92 | -20.8% | -13.6% | -12.8% | +2.5% | +1.0% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | 3.92 | 4.18 | +6.6% | +4.1% | -2.7% | +6.0% | +13.9% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 3.38 | 4.13 | +22.3% | +0.0% | -7.1% | -6.0% | -2.0% |
| 2023-05-08 miss | 3.21 | 2.86 | -11.0% | -3.6% | -3.6% | -4.6% | +6.5% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 2.31 | 3.46 | +49.6% | -1.2% | +0.0% | +2.3% | -21.9% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | 1.32 | 1.35 | +2.3% | -3.4% | -7.4% | +4.3% | +1.7% |
| 2022-08-05 miss | 2.52 | 0.32 | -87.3% | +1.1% | +1.7% | +8.8% | +4.2% |
| 2022-05-09 beat | 3.46 | 3.79 | +9.5% | -1.2% | -7.6% | +3.5% | -0.6% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 3.52 | 4.02 | +14.1% | +0.4% | -4.7% | -3.9% | -16.8% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 3.53 | 5.41 | +53.3% | +6.6% | +2.5% | +1.1% | -5.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.