BHF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.0% | -1.1% | 3.5% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 1.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | -0.2% | 2.4% | 40% |
| 5-day | -1.5% | -1.3% | 4.9% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | 4.77 | 4.45 | -6.7% | +0.4% | +0.5% | -4.2% | -13.8% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | 4.47 | 4.35 | -2.6% | -0.6% | -1.4% | -0.4% | +1.4% |
| 2026-02-23 miss | 5.19 | 3.70 | -28.7% | -1.1% | -1.1% | -3.4% | -2.1% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 4.09 | 7.89 | +92.8% | +0.0% | +0.5% | -0.3% | -0.9% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 4.39 | 3.43 | -21.8% | -4.8% | -3.4% | +2.6% | +9.6% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 3.47 | -5.04 | -245.3% | -3.0% | +1.5% | +3.8% | -1.8% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 4.31 | 5.07 | +17.7% | +0.8% | +0.0% | +5.8% | -4.9% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 3.02 | 2.47 | -18.3% | +3.5% | -1.1% | +0.9% | -4.1% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 4.37 | 5.57 | +27.3% | -6.2% | -5.0% | +0.0% | -0.7% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 3.87 | 4.25 | +9.8% | -3.6% | -10.4% | -0.3% | -6.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.