BKYI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -4.4% | -2.5% | 11.7% | 20% |
| Day 2 | -3.3% | -2.8% | 9.1% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +3.0% | -0.5% | 10.0% | 50% |
| 5-day | -9.8% | -7.8% | 11.1% | 10% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 beat | -0.82 | -0.54 | +34.6% | -16.7% | -15.6% | -3.5% | -16.0% |
| 2026-05-18 beat | -0.60 | -0.13 | +77.6% | -3.5% | +0.5% | +3.0% | -8.9% |
| 2025-11-14 miss | -1.20 | -1.49 | -23.8% | -2.1% | -2.1% | -7.4% | -30.5% |
| 2025-08-13 miss | -1.50 | -2.00 | -33.5% | -4.9% | -2.5% | -6.3% | -2.5% |
| 2025-05-15 beat | -2.40 | -1.45 | +39.5% | +3.5% | -2.4% | -4.8% | -2.4% |
| 2025-03-27 miss | -3.50 | -5.30 | -51.4% | -12.5% | -23.2% | -16.3% | -14.0% |
| 2024-11-14 beat | -5.80 | -3.90 | +32.8% | -1.0% | -7.8% | -6.4% | -2.1% |
| 2024-08-14 miss | -5.40 | -10.00 | -85.2% | -3.6% | -10.7% | +9.6% | +32.8% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | -43.20 | -14.40 | +66.7% | +5.3% | +21.1% | -17.4% | -26.1% |
| 2023-08-14 beat | -32.40 | -28.80 | +11.1% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -4.8% | -19.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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