BR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +0.4% | 5.3% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | +0.6% | 1.8% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.2% | 1.7% | 45% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | +0.5% | 6.1% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 3.76 | 3.82 | +1.7% | +7.0% | +7.0% | +1.4% | +5.7% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 2.60 | 2.72 | +4.5% | -2.9% | -4.2% | -0.7% | +3.9% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 1.36 | 1.59 | +16.8% | +0.9% | -6.2% | -7.2% | +2.7% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 1.25 | 1.51 | +21.2% | +2.1% | +0.8% | +0.0% | +3.6% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 3.50 | 3.55 | +1.5% | +1.0% | +6.8% | -1.1% | -5.0% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 2.41 | 2.44 | +1.2% | -2.2% | -5.9% | +3.5% | +6.3% |
| 2025-01-31 beat | 1.49 | 1.56 | +4.9% | -3.4% | -0.4% | +0.9% | +1.5% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 0.97 | 1.00 | +3.0% | -0.5% | +4.1% | +3.9% | +8.1% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 3.49 | 3.50 | +0.3% | +1.4% | +4.8% | -4.0% | -3.5% |
| 2024-05-08 miss | 2.24 | 2.23 | -0.2% | -1.7% | -5.4% | +6.1% | +4.0% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 0.89 | 0.92 | +3.2% | -0.6% | -1.3% | -1.3% | +1.9% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.97 | 1.09 | +12.9% | +0.6% | +4.9% | -1.5% | +9.1% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 3.10 | 3.21 | +3.4% | +3.2% | +6.4% | +2.3% | +5.8% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 2.03 | 2.05 | +1.1% | +1.7% | +6.3% | -0.5% | -2.8% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 0.90 | 0.91 | +1.0% | +2.0% | -0.1% | -5.0% | -6.6% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | 0.88 | 0.84 | -4.0% | -2.0% | -7.9% | -2.9% | +8.2% |
| 2022-08-12 beat | 2.62 | 2.65 | +1.1% | +0.8% | +7.9% | -3.9% | -8.0% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 1.78 | 1.93 | +8.3% | +0.3% | +2.2% | -6.6% | +0.8% |
| 2022-02-01 miss | 0.82 | 0.82 | -0.5% | -0.9% | -3.7% | -3.0% | -4.6% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.97 | 1.07 | +9.9% | -1.9% | -5.0% | +5.3% | +0.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.