BUD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | +1.9% | 5.2% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.3% | 2.2% | 55% |
| Day 3 | -1.1% | -1.2% | 2.0% | 25% |
| 5-day | +1.1% | +1.4% | 6.1% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.14 | 1.21 | +6.4% | -1.1% | +1.5% | -2.5% | -7.0% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.91 | 0.97 | +6.2% | +7.8% | +8.7% | -0.7% | -3.0% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 0.88 | 0.95 | +8.4% | +3.6% | +3.8% | -2.1% | -9.1% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.95 | 0.99 | +3.9% | -1.0% | -2.3% | +4.8% | +3.4% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.95 | 0.98 | +3.5% | -10.8% | -13.3% | +6.4% | +8.7% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.73 | 0.81 | +10.4% | +2.1% | +2.3% | +0.8% | +6.0% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.63 | 0.88 | +40.7% | +8.1% | +7.2% | +6.0% | +5.8% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.91 | 0.98 | +7.5% | -4.3% | -5.6% | -2.6% | -8.8% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.85 | 0.90 | +6.2% | +2.8% | +3.0% | -0.5% | +0.3% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.66 | 0.75 | +13.1% | +4.9% | +4.0% | +4.8% | -1.2% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | 0.71 | 0.82 | +16.1% | -1.9% | -3.3% | +2.1% | +1.2% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 0.81 | 0.86 | +6.5% | +3.2% | +5.3% | +3.9% | +10.7% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.69 | 0.72 | +4.0% | +2.2% | +1.3% | -0.2% | -1.4% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.62 | 0.65 | +5.2% | +1.9% | +3.5% | -6.8% | -17.8% |
| 2023-03-02 beat | 0.71 | 0.92 | +28.9% | +0.1% | +1.4% | -1.3% | +9.2% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 0.73 | 0.81 | +11.7% | +5.9% | +4.9% | -0.8% | +17.4% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.72 | 0.75 | +4.8% | -0.3% | +0.5% | -0.6% | -7.2% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.60 | 0.67 | +12.0% | -1.3% | -2.1% | -5.3% | -2.2% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 0.77 | 0.87 | +12.6% | -3.6% | -1.0% | -6.3% | -4.1% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | 0.55 | 0.50 | -9.2% | +7.2% | +9.4% | -4.8% | -8.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.