BWA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.0% | +2.6% | 7.6% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.3% | 2.4% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.8% | 2.6% | 55% |
| 5-day | +2.3% | +0.7% | 8.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 1.27 | 1.42 | +11.5% | +2.5% | +5.9% | +3.1% | -1.6% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 1.17 | 1.24 | +6.2% | +2.7% | +3.8% | +12.6% | +22.3% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | 1.19 | 1.35 | +13.5% | +2.7% | +22.5% | -8.8% | -23.5% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.18 | 1.24 | +5.1% | -3.1% | +3.1% | +2.0% | -3.0% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.08 | 1.21 | +11.6% | +4.4% | +6.6% | +3.8% | +16.2% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.97 | 1.11 | +13.9% | +3.4% | +4.4% | +8.7% | +6.7% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 0.96 | 1.01 | +5.3% | +2.2% | -3.0% | -2.8% | -1.3% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.93 | 1.09 | +16.6% | +4.6% | +0.2% | +4.3% | +2.1% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 1.01 | 1.19 | +17.7% | +10.9% | +8.8% | -10.4% | -4.0% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.87 | 1.03 | +18.3% | +8.0% | +8.4% | +5.9% | +0.8% |
| 2024-02-08 miss | 0.94 | 0.90 | -4.7% | -5.4% | -6.9% | +0.0% | +2.1% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.94 | 0.98 | +3.8% | -11.0% | -13.1% | -0.7% | +6.4% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.92 | 1.05 | +14.3% | +0.3% | -7.5% | -1.5% | -5.2% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 1.11 | 1.09 | -2.2% | -4.2% | -7.9% | +4.3% | +9.7% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 1.08 | 1.26 | +17.1% | +3.3% | +2.8% | +4.9% | -3.3% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.03 | 1.24 | +20.1% | +1.9% | +0.9% | -1.6% | +12.6% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 0.86 | 1.05 | +22.3% | +3.1% | +2.5% | -0.9% | -5.4% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.86 | 1.05 | +21.7% | -1.9% | +2.2% | -7.5% | +0.8% |
| 2022-02-15 beat | 0.76 | 1.06 | +39.9% | +0.5% | +5.9% | -6.6% | -15.3% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.74 | 0.80 | +8.5% | -2.2% | -0.1% | +0.0% | -6.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.