CINF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | +0.9% | 5.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.4% | 1.9% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 1.8% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +0.2% | 5.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 miss | 1.82 | 1.43 | -21.3% | -4.2% | -0.9% | -1.8% | -5.6% |
| 2026-04-27 beat | 1.94 | 2.10 | +8.2% | -1.5% | -0.4% | -2.8% | -3.0% |
| 2026-02-09 beat | 2.89 | 3.37 | +16.6% | -2.5% | -3.3% | +0.1% | +0.7% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 2.06 | 2.85 | +38.4% | -0.3% | -3.7% | +3.7% | +11.0% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 1.39 | 1.97 | +42.0% | +5.0% | +3.6% | -1.3% | +1.0% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | -0.61 | -0.24 | +60.7% | +6.1% | +2.9% | +3.6% | +7.2% |
| 2025-02-10 beat | 1.87 | 3.14 | +68.3% | +4.3% | +2.8% | -2.2% | +1.8% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 1.43 | 5.20 | +262.6% | +1.0% | +2.2% | -0.4% | +12.9% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.96 | 1.29 | +34.8% | -3.6% | +3.0% | +5.2% | +6.9% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 1.71 | 1.72 | +0.8% | -0.2% | -6.4% | +5.5% | +4.4% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 1.93 | 2.28 | +18.2% | -3.7% | -4.5% | +3.7% | +9.6% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.14 | 1.66 | +45.4% | -2.1% | -2.1% | +3.4% | +3.2% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 0.70 | 1.21 | +73.6% | +5.2% | +6.9% | -0.6% | -4.8% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.72 | 0.89 | +24.3% | +3.1% | +2.7% | -1.1% | -7.1% |
| 2023-02-06 miss | 1.28 | 1.27 | -0.5% | +1.1% | +10.7% | -1.4% | -10.0% |
| 2022-10-31 beat | 0.67 | 0.73 | +8.9% | +0.1% | -4.0% | +4.0% | +12.0% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | 1.04 | 0.65 | -37.5% | -4.0% | -13.9% | -2.2% | +3.2% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 1.45 | 1.58 | +9.3% | -1.5% | -9.8% | +3.1% | +4.2% |
| 2022-02-15 beat | 1.36 | 1.97 | +45.1% | +2.1% | +6.2% | -6.8% | -0.2% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.91 | 1.28 | +40.4% | +1.5% | +4.1% | -1.6% | -6.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.