CNH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.3% | +2.9% | 5.4% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.8% | 2.5% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.9% | -0.8% | 2.5% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | -1.0% | 5.4% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +22.4% | +11.3% | +5.4% | -3.0% | +15.7% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | — | 0.01 | +190.7% | +2.1% | +6.2% | +1.2% | -8.0% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 0.11 | 0.19 | +74.7% | -6.0% | +2.7% | -2.6% | -22.7% |
| 2025-11-07 miss | 0.14 | 0.08 | -41.5% | -11.1% | -5.8% | +4.0% | -3.1% |
| 2025-08-01 beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +20.6% | +0.2% | -3.8% | -0.3% | -10.2% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.10 | 0.10 | -1.8% | +3.4% | +7.3% | +1.6% | -0.1% |
| 2025-02-04 miss | 0.19 | 0.15 | -20.8% | -1.0% | +1.4% | -3.5% | -0.2% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 0.28 | 0.24 | -13.9% | -8.9% | -8.3% | +2.3% | +13.1% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +1.8% | +4.2% | +4.7% | -10.1% | -5.1% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.26 | 0.33 | +26.1% | +2.9% | +3.1% | +1.1% | -11.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.