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CTRA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +0.2% | 5.4% | 51% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.2% | 2.4% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.7% | 2.5% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.6% | +0.2% | 7.5% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | 0.64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-06 miss | 0.82 | 0.61 | -26.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 miss | 0.47 | 0.39 | -16.9% | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-11-03 miss | 0.43 | 0.41 | -4.8% | +0.5% | +6.0% | +3.6% | +5.8% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +7.0% | +2.5% | +1.6% | -1.4% | +0.3% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | 0.80 | 0.80 | +0.6% | -3.3% | -9.3% | +8.0% | +8.3% |
| 2025-02-24 beat | 0.43 | 0.49 | +14.3% | -5.3% | -2.1% | -3.3% | +5.4% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | 0.34 | 0.32 | -7.0% | +0.5% | -5.1% | +8.2% | +15.2% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.39 | 0.37 | -4.7% | -2.0% | -5.1% | +0.0% | -0.8% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.41 | 0.51 | +23.7% | +5.3% | +3.8% | -0.4% | -2.5% |
| 2024-02-22 miss | 0.54 | 0.52 | -4.1% | -0.1% | -1.3% | -0.1% | +7.1% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 0.43 | 0.50 | +15.3% | +1.1% | +0.0% | -0.9% | -10.5% |
| 2023-08-07 beat | 0.33 | 0.39 | +17.6% | -4.1% | -0.7% | +0.2% | +1.3% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.70 | 0.87 | +24.1% | +6.0% | +3.9% | -1.2% | -3.7% |
| 2023-02-22 beat | 1.10 | 1.16 | +5.9% | +4.0% | +6.1% | +4.6% | -4.0% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 1.39 | 1.42 | +2.2% | -6.1% | -5.5% | -1.7% | -10.8% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 1.28 | 1.35 | +5.8% | -1.3% | -2.4% | -1.2% | +5.4% |
| 2022-05-02 beat | 0.82 | 1.01 | +23.2% | +5.4% | +9.5% | -6.4% | +10.5% |
| 2022-02-23 miss | 1.02 | 0.83 | -18.6% | +1.9% | -4.2% | +14.7% | +30.0% |
| 2021-11-03 miss | 0.54 | 0.52 | -3.1% | -1.2% | +3.0% | -8.2% | -8.5% |
| 2021-07-30 miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -3.6% | -0.8% | +0.6% | +1.8% | -1.6% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +6.5% | +0.6% | -2.3% | +4.3% | -1.3% |
| 2021-02-23 beat | 0.20 | 0.26 | +27.8% | +2.3% | +6.3% | -2.7% | -2.5% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +35.2% | -2.2% | -3.3% | -7.6% | -2.3% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.02 | 0.05 | +152.7% | -0.8% | +3.1% | +10.1% | +1.4% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.14 | 0.14 | +3.6% | -4.4% | -6.5% | +1.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-20 miss | 0.31 | 0.30 | -2.0% | -3.6% | -3.0% | -6.4% | -5.0% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +7.1% | +0.3% | +1.9% | -2.0% | -11.3% |
| 2019-07-26 beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +7.6% | -5.7% | -12.1% | -4.6% | -13.6% |
| 2019-04-26 beat | 0.65 | 0.73 | +11.8% | +3.0% | +2.5% | -4.8% | -3.6% |
| 2019-02-22 miss | 0.58 | 0.55 | -5.6% | -0.8% | -1.1% | +4.0% | +8.8% |
| 2018-10-26 miss | 0.27 | 0.25 | -8.6% | -0.1% | +7.1% | +7.1% | +5.8% |
| 2018-07-27 miss | 0.19 | 0.13 | -32.8% | -2.9% | -7.7% | +2.8% | +5.1% |
| 2018-04-27 beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +4.5% | +4.9% | +0.6% | -0.8% | -7.1% |
| 2018-02-23 beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +16.1% | +2.5% | +2.4% | +3.3% | -2.0% |
| 2017-10-27 miss | 0.08 | 0.07 | -10.8% | +2.2% | +8.5% | +5.5% | +8.8% |
| 2017-07-27 miss | 0.15 | 0.14 | -4.8% | -0.3% | +1.3% | -3.1% | -2.9% |
| 2017-04-28 beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +11.6% | +2.2% | -3.6% | +4.0% | -3.4% |
| 2017-02-24 miss | 0.01 | 0.01 | -31.1% | +0.3% | -0.4% | -0.4% | +3.3% |
| 2016-10-28 beat | -0.04 | -0.04 | +3.8% | -4.4% | -5.2% | -2.3% | +12.4% |
| 2016-07-29 beat | -0.08 | -0.07 | +7.4% | -1.2% | +3.4% | -0.4% | +2.0% |
| 2016-04-29 beat | -0.14 | -0.13 | +7.6% | +0.6% | -0.8% | +1.8% | +2.4% |
| 2016-02-19 beat | -0.04 | -0.02 | +45.2% | -1.0% | +1.8% | +2.7% | +9.4% |
| 2015-10-23 miss | — | -0.01 | -1654.4% | -4.7% | -4.5% | +2.9% | -8.2% |
| 2015-07-24 miss | 0.03 | 0.03 | -8.4% | -7.6% | -4.0% | -1.3% | -17.0% |
| 2015-04-24 beat | 0.04 | 0.12 | +198.7% | +1.2% | +0.2% | +2.7% | +5.1% |
| 2015-02-20 beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +4.4% | -0.3% | +1.3% | +3.3% | +1.6% |
| 2014-10-24 miss | 0.22 | 0.20 | -7.7% | +1.8% | -0.7% | -0.4% | +10.9% |
| 2014-07-24 beat | 0.25 | 0.28 | +12.6% | +3.3% | -0.9% | -0.4% | -0.2% |
| 2014-04-24 miss | 0.26 | 0.26 | -0.4% | +2.2% | +5.1% | +3.8% | -5.8% |
| 2014-02-20 beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +4.0% | -2.9% | -8.2% | -3.0% | -9.5% |
| 2013-10-24 beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +9.4% | +3.2% | +6.1% | -5.2% | -5.9% |
| 2013-07-24 beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +15.3% | +4.6% | +6.8% | +1.2% | +1.5% |
| 2013-04-24 beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +6.4% | +0.7% | +1.9% | -3.0% | +4.0% |
| 2013-02-21 beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +25.9% | +4.8% | +11.0% | +6.0% | +12.7% |
| 2012-10-25 beat | 0.07 | 0.11 | +50.2% | +4.3% | +10.0% | +2.8% | +0.6% |
| 2012-07-24 miss | 0.04 | 0.03 | -28.8% | -0.4% | -0.5% | +6.9% | +3.4% |
| 2012-04-25 beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +12.7% | -0.5% | +7.2% | +4.8% | +5.4% |
| 2012-02-20 beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +21.7% | -0.1% | -2.7% | -0.5% | -10.0% |
| 2011-10-26 miss | 0.09 | 0.09 | -5.8% | +10.3% | +15.8% | +6.0% | +3.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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