EC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.3% | 1.9% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +3.6% | +2.6% | 2.5% | 100% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.8% | 2.3% | 70% |
| 5-day | +4.8% | +4.4% | 5.2% | 80% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 0.49 | 0.93 | +89.5% | +0.9% | +0.5% | +3.5% | +4.9% |
| 2026-05-14 beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +8.2% | +0.5% | -1.0% | +5.8% | +20.6% |
| 2026-03-03 miss | 0.30 | 0.20 | -33.9% | -0.9% | -0.9% | +17.0% | +30.6% |
| 2025-11-12 miss | 0.36 | 0.33 | -7.7% | +0.0% | -1.6% | +1.1% | -3.8% |
| 2025-08-13 miss | 0.35 | 0.22 | -37.1% | -0.6% | +0.2% | +2.1% | +5.8% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.32 | 0.36 | +12.2% | +1.2% | +0.9% | +5.4% | +10.5% |
| 2025-03-04 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +3.2% | +2.0% | +2.9% | +3.9% | +1.9% |
| 2024-11-14 miss | 0.47 | 0.40 | -15.1% | +1.2% | +2.5% | +5.2% | -0.4% |
| 2024-08-13 miss | 0.49 | 0.41 | -16.6% | -2.4% | -3.3% | -0.1% | -9.8% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 0.49 | 0.50 | +2.6% | +0.0% | +0.4% | +3.7% | +3.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.