ET chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | -0.2% | 2.6% | 35% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | -1.0% | 1.6% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.0% | 1.9% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.6% | -1.2% | 5.2% | 35% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 0.37 | 0.59 | +60.4% | +1.4% | +0.2% | +2.2% | +6.0% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 0.37 | 0.35 | -6.8% | -0.1% | +1.5% | -1.9% | -3.8% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +8.4% | -0.3% | -0.7% | +1.0% | +0.3% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.28 | 0.28 | +1.8% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -1.4% | -0.4% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.27 | 0.32 | +20.3% | +0.0% | -1.3% | -1.4% | -2.7% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.27 | 0.37 | +35.1% | +2.8% | +6.8% | +7.5% | +6.2% |
| 2025-02-11 miss | 0.32 | 0.29 | -8.7% | -2.4% | -0.8% | +1.5% | -4.7% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.22 | 0.32 | +45.0% | +1.5% | -0.1% | -1.5% | +8.2% |
| 2024-08-07 miss | 0.28 | 0.20 | -26.7% | +1.2% | +4.0% | -1.6% | -2.7% |
| 2024-05-08 miss | 0.39 | 0.32 | -17.0% | +0.5% | -0.1% | -2.5% | -3.3% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +7.4% | -0.1% | +2.2% | +3.3% | +7.9% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | 0.25 | 0.15 | -40.9% | +0.8% | +3.7% | -4.5% | +1.8% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.24 | 0.26 | +4.7% | -1.1% | -2.3% | +1.8% | +6.1% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +5.1% | -0.6% | -0.2% | -1.7% | +1.7% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +5.1% | -1.4% | -0.7% | -1.5% | -9.3% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 0.26 | 0.35 | +32.4% | -0.2% | -3.1% | -3.2% | +1.4% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 0.24 | 0.39 | +64.4% | +1.6% | -1.2% | +3.4% | +5.8% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.16 | 0.47 | +198.4% | +1.4% | -1.7% | -10.3% | -0.2% |
| 2022-02-16 beat | 0.22 | 0.30 | +35.3% | +2.0% | +0.9% | -4.2% | -3.1% |
| 2021-11-03 miss | 0.23 | 0.20 | -14.5% | -2.0% | -4.6% | -0.7% | -11.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.