FCFS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.4% | +3.3% | 6.8% | 75% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 2.0% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 2.3% | 45% |
| 5-day | +3.5% | +5.2% | 6.3% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 2.39 | 2.50 | +4.8% | +2.1% | -5.4% | +2.3% | +14.1% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 2.39 | 2.69 | +12.4% | +4.9% | +3.3% | +2.8% | +7.2% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 2.53 | 2.64 | +4.2% | -2.4% | +3.3% | +2.4% | +10.4% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.93 | 2.26 | +17.1% | +4.5% | +7.0% | +2.2% | +0.5% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 1.67 | 1.79 | +7.2% | -0.3% | -8.4% | +9.0% | +18.1% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 1.74 | 2.07 | +19.1% | +4.5% | +9.1% | +0.7% | -3.2% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 2.01 | 2.12 | +5.3% | +1.7% | +0.4% | -0.5% | -0.5% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 1.62 | 1.67 | +3.0% | +0.4% | -7.2% | +1.2% | +2.1% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 1.32 | 1.37 | +4.0% | +3.9% | +2.0% | +0.4% | +5.6% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 1.53 | 1.55 | +1.6% | -2.5% | -13.2% | +0.2% | +3.6% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 1.79 | 2.04 | +13.8% | +0.8% | +4.3% | -2.3% | -4.1% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.38 | 1.56 | +13.4% | +0.9% | +8.8% | -0.9% | +1.7% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 1.08 | 1.22 | +12.6% | +2.7% | +0.3% | +1.1% | -8.4% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 1.22 | 1.25 | +2.5% | +0.3% | +7.8% | -0.8% | -5.6% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 1.52 | 1.65 | +8.8% | +1.2% | -0.8% | -0.6% | -2.2% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.13 | 1.30 | +15.0% | +3.2% | +8.8% | +0.3% | -1.6% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.98 | 1.08 | +9.9% | +0.3% | +10.4% | +2.3% | +7.9% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 1.07 | 1.18 | +10.2% | +1.7% | +12.1% | -3.9% | -5.4% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 1.11 | 1.52 | +37.4% | +0.7% | +5.1% | +3.6% | -12.9% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 0.79 | 0.84 | +6.3% | -6.3% | +0.4% | +4.0% | -24.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.