FCPT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -0.7% | 1.9% | 35% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | +0.0% | 1.2% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.0% | 1.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.6% | -0.4% | 2.3% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -4.8% | -0.3% | -3.0% | -1.9% | -1.2% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 0.28 | 0.28 | +0.3% | +0.3% | +1.0% | -0.4% | -5.0% |
| 2026-02-11 miss | 0.28 | 0.28 | -1.1% | +0.5% | -3.3% | +3.4% | +5.0% |
| 2025-10-28 miss | 0.28 | 0.28 | -0.4% | -0.5% | -1.7% | +2.2% | +2.5% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +2.6% | -0.6% | -3.0% | -0.6% | -0.2% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -4.9% | +1.4% | -0.2% | -1.1% | -1.1% |
| 2025-02-12 miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -2.0% | +1.2% | +2.4% | -1.5% | -0.7% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 0.27 | 0.27 | -0.0% | +3.8% | -1.1% | +0.9% | +5.0% |
| 2024-07-30 miss | 0.27 | 0.27 | -0.1% | -0.2% | -1.6% | -1.4% | +3.4% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | 0.26 | 0.26 | -1.7% | +2.6% | +2.2% | +0.6% | +3.0% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +5.5% | +1.5% | +2.4% | +0.6% | +4.1% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -2.4% | -1.0% | +1.8% | -2.2% | +9.4% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +3.6% | -0.3% | -2.6% | +1.8% | -1.1% |
| 2023-05-01 miss | 0.27 | 0.27 | -0.4% | -1.5% | -1.5% | +3.1% | +3.1% |
| 2023-02-15 miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -2.4% | -2.0% | +1.4% | -4.1% | -6.8% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +5.2% | +1.1% | -0.5% | +3.1% | +5.4% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 0.29 | 0.35 | +22.2% | -0.5% | +0.0% | -1.7% | -1.5% |
| 2022-04-26 miss | 0.28 | 0.28 | -1.4% | +1.9% | -2.2% | -1.9% | -3.6% |
| 2022-02-16 beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +7.5% | +1.5% | +0.3% | +1.2% | +0.0% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +3.1% | -0.3% | -0.9% | -1.6% | -7.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.