FL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.9% | -4.0% | 22.1% | 46% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +0.5% | 4.6% | 57% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.6% | 3.8% | 36% |
| 5-day | -1.5% | -5.9% | 23.1% | 39% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 | 0.40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-08-27 miss | 0.16 | -0.39 | -342.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-05-15 miss | -0.02 | -0.07 | -244.5% | +83.4% | +85.7% | -0.1% | +0.9% |
| 2025-03-05 beat | 0.72 | 0.86 | +19.7% | +4.5% | +5.1% | -14.3% | -31.8% |
| 2024-12-04 miss | 0.40 | 0.33 | -18.4% | -16.8% | -8.9% | -0.6% | -4.2% |
| 2024-08-28 beat | -0.07 | -0.05 | +32.1% | -7.6% | -10.2% | -6.9% | -10.3% |
| 2024-05-30 beat | 0.12 | 0.22 | +87.1% | +14.1% | +15.0% | +0.0% | -10.7% |
| 2024-03-06 beat | 0.32 | 0.38 | +18.6% | -11.5% | -29.4% | -4.4% | -0.6% |
| 2023-11-29 beat | 0.21 | 0.30 | +43.7% | +15.0% | +16.1% | +2.1% | +12.6% |
| 2023-08-23 miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -11.3% | -31.5% | -28.3% | +11.5% | +6.7% |
| 2023-05-19 miss | 0.78 | 0.70 | -10.2% | -26.2% | -27.2% | -13.0% | -11.9% |
| 2023-03-20 beat | 0.50 | 0.97 | +94.3% | +9.1% | -5.7% | -2.3% | +3.7% |
| 2022-11-18 beat | 1.12 | 1.27 | +13.5% | +15.9% | +8.7% | +7.7% | -8.5% |
| 2022-08-19 beat | 0.80 | 1.10 | +38.3% | +23.8% | +20.0% | -4.3% | -1.7% |
| 2022-05-20 beat | 1.55 | 1.60 | +3.2% | +4.9% | +4.1% | +5.5% | -7.7% |
| 2022-02-25 beat | 1.46 | 1.67 | +14.1% | -27.1% | -29.8% | +1.8% | +3.8% |
| 2021-11-19 beat | 1.37 | 1.93 | +41.2% | -7.1% | -12.0% | -5.4% | -17.9% |
| 2021-08-20 beat | 1.02 | 2.21 | +117.4% | +10.2% | +7.3% | -1.8% | -14.6% |
| 2021-05-21 beat | 1.09 | 1.96 | +79.7% | +2.2% | +2.0% | +4.0% | -2.5% |
| 2021-02-26 beat | 1.35 | 1.55 | +14.7% | -6.0% | -8.8% | +8.4% | +16.3% |
| 2020-11-20 beat | 0.63 | 1.21 | +93.1% | +0.4% | -5.0% | -4.8% | -0.1% |
| 2020-08-21 beat | 0.69 | 0.71 | +3.0% | +6.1% | +1.4% | +10.2% | +25.4% |
| 2020-05-22 miss | -0.35 | -0.67 | -89.5% | -8.7% | -8.5% | +8.8% | +12.3% |
| 2020-02-28 beat | 1.58 | 1.63 | +3.2% | -2.8% | +8.0% | -16.3% | -38.1% |
| 2019-11-22 beat | 1.08 | 1.13 | +5.0% | -5.9% | -2.9% | -1.6% | -0.1% |
| 2019-08-23 miss | 0.67 | 0.66 | -1.8% | -11.7% | -18.9% | +6.4% | +17.0% |
| 2019-05-24 miss | 1.60 | 1.53 | -4.3% | -15.0% | -16.0% | -9.4% | -5.7% |
| 2019-03-01 beat | 1.40 | 1.56 | +11.2% | +14.0% | +6.0% | -4.7% | -3.0% |
| 2018-11-20 beat | 0.93 | 0.95 | +2.6% | +14.6% | +14.9% | +4.6% | -7.6% |
| 2018-08-24 beat | 0.70 | 0.75 | +7.3% | -8.2% | -9.2% | +2.0% | -0.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.