FOUR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.6% | +0.9% | 11.6% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.0% | 6.1% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +1.2% | 4.6% | 60% |
| 5-day | +2.0% | +1.0% | 15.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.24 | 1.32 | +6.8% | -11.1% | -18.8% | +10.7% | +6.0% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.96 | 0.97 | +1.0% | +14.0% | +9.3% | -10.3% | -19.6% |
| 2026-02-25 miss | 1.60 | 1.60 | -0.1% | -9.4% | -15.6% | +1.2% | -8.1% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 1.48 | 1.47 | -0.6% | +7.0% | -0.5% | +8.1% | +0.0% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | 1.20 | 1.10 | -8.1% | -8.1% | -15.4% | +0.6% | +1.3% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 0.70 | 1.07 | +53.7% | +10.5% | +12.8% | -7.7% | +3.0% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 1.15 | 1.35 | +17.6% | -8.5% | -17.5% | -7.0% | -15.6% |
| 2024-11-12 miss | 1.06 | 1.04 | -2.1% | -6.6% | -5.5% | +3.0% | +1.4% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 0.87 | 0.96 | +10.6% | +6.7% | +11.3% | +15.8% | +7.7% |
| 2024-05-09 miss | 0.62 | 0.54 | -12.9% | -3.7% | +4.0% | +12.8% | +20.0% |
| 2024-02-27 miss | 0.81 | 0.76 | -6.6% | -4.0% | +5.6% | +3.9% | -14.6% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 0.69 | 0.82 | +18.4% | +0.7% | +3.2% | +12.8% | +17.4% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.52 | 0.74 | +41.9% | +2.5% | +2.4% | -4.6% | -11.5% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.36 | 0.51 | +40.2% | +1.9% | -10.7% | +5.2% | +12.2% |
| 2023-02-28 beat | 0.39 | 0.47 | +19.7% | +8.0% | +13.0% | +5.8% | +10.2% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +2.8% | +9.9% | -7.1% | +28.6% | +22.1% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.24 | 0.33 | +35.1% | +5.3% | +6.5% | +11.3% | -0.9% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.06 | 0.15 | +138.1% | -6.1% | -14.5% | -3.4% | +2.1% |
| 2022-03-01 miss | 0.18 | 0.08 | -56.5% | -5.4% | -11.5% | -10.0% | +38.9% |
| 2021-11-10 beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +3.7% | +18.2% | +16.1% | -3.2% | -19.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.