FSK chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.0% | +0.5% | 5.5% | 55% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 2.2% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.0% | 1.5% | 45% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +0.7% | 7.4% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +4.9% | +5.4% | +7.6% | +6.4% | +4.7% |
| 2026-05-11 miss | 0.44 | 0.42 | -5.2% | -2.8% | -0.7% | -0.4% | +2.2% |
| 2026-02-25 miss | 0.54 | 0.48 | -10.4% | -9.2% | -15.2% | -3.3% | -12.2% |
| 2025-11-05 miss | 0.58 | 0.57 | -1.2% | +2.3% | +2.8% | +2.4% | +2.2% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 0.63 | 0.62 | -2.2% | -6.6% | -8.2% | -5.1% | -2.5% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.65 | 0.65 | +0.2% | +2.8% | +3.0% | +4.4% | +6.8% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +0.9% | -2.5% | -0.6% | -2.2% | -7.8% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.71 | 0.77 | +8.2% | +0.4% | +0.6% | +0.8% | +2.4% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.71 | 0.77 | +7.9% | +0.9% | -0.6% | +1.6% | +4.8% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.72 | 0.76 | +6.3% | +1.0% | +2.4% | +0.4% | +3.7% |
| 2024-02-26 miss | 0.75 | 0.71 | -4.8% | -2.4% | -5.9% | -0.7% | +0.7% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 0.78 | 0.84 | +7.2% | +1.3% | +0.5% | +0.3% | +1.8% |
| 2023-08-07 beat | 0.76 | 0.82 | +7.3% | -0.9% | -0.2% | -1.7% | +0.0% |
| 2023-05-05 beat | 0.75 | 0.81 | +8.0% | +3.1% | +8.1% | -1.2% | +4.0% |
| 2023-02-27 beat | 0.74 | 0.80 | +8.5% | +3.3% | +0.6% | -0.3% | -7.1% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +3.8% | -0.7% | -4.0% | +1.5% | -2.0% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | 0.66 | 0.72 | +7.9% | -0.6% | -1.3% | +1.9% | -3.7% |
| 2022-05-09 beat | 0.65 | 0.77 | +18.0% | +5.0% | +8.1% | +1.4% | -3.0% |
| 2022-02-28 beat | 0.60 | 0.75 | +24.8% | +1.5% | +2.7% | +3.7% | +2.1% |
| 2021-11-08 beat | 0.62 | 0.64 | +3.5% | +1.9% | +0.4% | -2.1% | -1.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.