FSP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | -1.2% | 5.7% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | -0.9% | 3.0% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +1.5% | +1.4% | 3.8% | 55% |
| 5-day | +2.3% | -1.5% | 13.5% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | -0.08 | -0.08 | — | -1.5% | -4.5% | -6.3% | -18.1% |
| 2025-07-29 | -0.08 | -0.08 | — | +1.2% | -1.2% | -5.9% | -2.4% |
| 2025-04-29 miss | -0.08 | -0.21 | -162.5% | +2.6% | +1.9% | -3.2% | +15.2% |
| 2025-02-11 miss | -0.03 | -0.08 | -166.7% | -0.5% | +6.0% | +4.1% | -10.3% |
| 2024-10-29 miss | -0.05 | -0.15 | -200.0% | -1.1% | -4.3% | +10.2% | +7.9% |
| 2024-07-30 miss | -0.08 | -0.20 | -150.0% | -2.2% | -3.9% | -10.3% | +0.0% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | -0.04 | -0.07 | -75.0% | -0.5% | +2.7% | +2.1% | +3.7% |
| 2024-02-26 miss | 0.12 | 0.03 | -75.0% | +1.3% | +6.2% | -4.2% | -5.8% |
| 2023-11-07 miss | -0.06 | -0.44 | -633.3% | +3.6% | +11.3% | +13.9% | +15.3% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | -0.08 | -0.07 | +7.9% | -4.8% | +6.6% | +5.6% | +7.9% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +300.0% | +0.9% | +0.0% | +23.7% | +31.6% |
| 2023-02-14 beat | -0.08 | -0.04 | +50.0% | -0.7% | +0.3% | -10.7% | -40.0% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | -0.08 | -0.06 | +27.9% | +3.1% | -3.8% | -0.4% | +7.9% |
| 2022-08-02 miss | -0.03 | -0.08 | -157.3% | -0.5% | -4.6% | -8.7% | -19.4% |
| 2022-05-03 | -0.04 | -0.04 | — | +1.0% | -1.6% | -13.4% | -14.0% |
| 2022-02-15 miss | 0.78 | -0.04 | -105.3% | -1.4% | -1.2% | -0.9% | +2.1% |
| 2021-11-08 miss | -0.01 | -0.04 | -259.0% | +3.1% | +14.8% | +9.5% | +15.3% |
| 2021-08-03 miss | -0.04 | -0.04 | -0.2% | -1.8% | -6.3% | +5.1% | -2.1% |
| 2021-05-04 miss | -0.02 | -0.06 | -140.0% | -0.4% | -3.6% | -3.0% | +4.7% |
| 2021-02-16 miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -37.7% | +0.0% | -3.0% | +23.1% | +47.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.