FTDR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.4% | +6.3% | 12.0% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 4.1% | 55% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | -0.3% | 4.0% | 45% |
| 5-day | +3.8% | +4.8% | 16.0% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.77 | 1.93 | +9.3% | +2.6% | +17.7% | -5.8% | -8.1% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.68 | 0.73 | +7.9% | -1.5% | +13.3% | -1.0% | -11.9% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.13 | 0.23 | +74.1% | +6.6% | +16.8% | +3.6% | -18.4% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 1.51 | 1.58 | +4.6% | -7.1% | -15.9% | -7.2% | -4.0% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 1.45 | 1.63 | +12.0% | +10.5% | -4.0% | +1.5% | +12.7% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.38 | 0.64 | +69.5% | +18.5% | +13.2% | +14.9% | +21.4% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 0.11 | 0.23 | +108.6% | -2.0% | -19.2% | -11.9% | -17.7% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 1.05 | 1.38 | +31.9% | +1.3% | +6.9% | +9.1% | +12.2% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.00 | 1.27 | +26.7% | +8.2% | +12.8% | +0.5% | +8.0% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.20 | 0.44 | +118.5% | +5.7% | +10.6% | +7.7% | +4.4% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | 0.04 | 0.20 | +426.3% | -8.6% | -5.8% | -1.9% | +4.7% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 0.54 | 0.94 | +73.1% | +11.8% | +15.1% | +4.2% | +3.8% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.55 | 0.87 | +56.8% | +6.5% | +5.7% | -6.6% | -11.1% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.08 | 0.29 | +258.5% | +7.0% | +12.6% | +3.3% | +4.5% |
| 2023-03-01 beat | -0.11 | 0.13 | +221.2% | +9.5% | +5.3% | -8.4% | -5.4% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.47 | 0.56 | +19.2% | +4.7% | +16.8% | +1.0% | -4.2% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 0.56 | 0.53 | -5.1% | -8.1% | -4.4% | +1.7% | -8.5% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 0.08 | 0.04 | -51.6% | -17.3% | -10.3% | +2.0% | -8.6% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | 0.20 | 0.10 | -50.5% | -12.9% | -8.4% | -2.4% | -5.8% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.68 | 0.91 | +33.8% | -19.7% | -10.9% | -2.7% | -7.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.