FTI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.0% | +3.7% | 5.8% | 65% |
| Day 2 | +1.6% | +2.0% | 4.1% | 65% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.6% | 2.1% | 60% |
| 5-day | +5.4% | +5.8% | 8.0% | 75% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.80 | 0.91 | +13.4% | -0.3% | -3.9% | +1.0% | +10.0% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.56 | 0.64 | +14.3% | -3.1% | -1.8% | -6.0% | -9.4% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 0.52 | 0.70 | +35.5% | -1.7% | -0.8% | +9.0% | +5.7% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 0.66 | 0.75 | +14.1% | +3.5% | +9.1% | +2.1% | +7.9% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.58 | 0.68 | +17.9% | +4.8% | +11.8% | -3.1% | -3.8% |
| 2025-04-24 miss | 0.37 | 0.33 | -10.1% | +4.0% | +9.9% | +5.5% | +8.0% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 0.36 | 0.54 | +51.1% | +1.8% | +3.3% | -8.7% | +8.2% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.40 | 0.64 | +61.3% | +3.5% | +2.8% | +3.2% | +19.2% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.31 | 0.43 | +39.4% | -0.4% | +4.0% | +1.5% | -6.0% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.16 | 0.22 | +38.3% | +1.0% | +3.4% | -2.5% | -2.8% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 0.12 | 0.14 | +13.7% | +1.1% | +6.2% | +0.8% | +17.5% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +9.8% | +1.1% | +9.0% | +3.3% | -3.2% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 0.16 | 0.10 | -37.8% | +0.3% | -6.3% | +3.9% | +3.2% |
| 2023-04-27 miss | 0.02 | — | -100.0% | +1.2% | +4.8% | -0.8% | +3.8% |
| 2023-02-23 miss | 0.04 | -0.05 | -242.7% | +8.8% | +6.4% | +9.2% | -11.0% |
| 2022-10-26 miss | 0.09 | 0.03 | -67.3% | -2.4% | -4.7% | +9.9% | +16.0% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | 0.05 | 0.02 | -56.2% | +3.0% | +10.1% | +8.7% | +17.1% |
| 2022-04-27 miss | — | -0.03 | -712.2% | -2.4% | -0.5% | +0.7% | +13.4% |
| 2022-02-23 miss | -0.01 | -0.12 | -1026.8% | -4.1% | +4.7% | +8.3% | +18.2% |
| 2021-10-20 miss | 0.01 | -0.06 | -521.9% | -2.7% | -8.2% | +2.0% | -16.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.