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GASS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.1% | +0.6% | 5.1% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.1% | 3.5% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.1% | 2.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | +2.0% | +2.2% | 9.2% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | 0.53 | — | — | -4.7% | -1.2% | -2.3% | -1.6% |
| 2026-06-05 beat | 0.38 | 0.43 | +13.2% | +0.1% | +4.8% | +0.3% | -9.3% |
| 2026-03-02 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +6.2% | +1.9% | -3.0% | +13.6% | +5.8% |
| 2025-11-25 beat | 0.31 | 0.36 | +16.1% | +0.7% | -1.9% | +3.0% | +4.8% |
| 2025-08-25 beat | 0.30 | 0.55 | +83.3% | +6.1% | +5.4% | -1.3% | -10.4% |
| 2025-05-28 beat | 0.33 | 0.39 | +18.2% | +2.2% | +6.6% | +3.9% | +12.3% |
| 2025-02-21 beat | 0.29 | 0.38 | +31.0% | +9.2% | +7.7% | -5.2% | -3.2% |
| 2024-11-25 miss | 0.34 | 0.33 | -2.9% | +2.6% | -4.0% | -6.7% | -12.9% |
| 2024-09-06 beat | 0.53 | 0.70 | +32.1% | +0.5% | -1.6% | +11.9% | +18.3% |
| 2024-05-22 beat | 0.24 | 0.49 | +104.2% | +3.4% | -6.7% | +27.6% | +9.8% |
| 2024-02-21 miss | 0.30 | 0.29 | -3.3% | -2.0% | -8.7% | -5.2% | -10.7% |
| 2023-11-21 beat | 0.15 | 0.31 | +106.7% | +4.0% | +4.9% | +10.6% | +13.4% |
| 2023-08-18 beat | 0.19 | 0.28 | +47.4% | -0.8% | -0.2% | -6.3% | -3.9% |
| 2023-05-24 beat | 0.17 | 0.45 | +164.7% | +7.0% | +4.4% | -1.9% | +31.2% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 0.11 | 0.28 | +154.6% | +1.1% | +7.1% | +3.9% | -7.0% |
| 2022-11-21 beat | 0.02 | 0.16 | +700.0% | +1.3% | +0.6% | -3.2% | -8.6% |
| 2022-08-24 beat | 0.18 | 0.30 | +66.7% | +11.6% | +0.6% | +2.9% | -19.9% |
| 2022-05-26 beat | 0.09 | 0.23 | +155.6% | +3.2% | +8.4% | +23.2% | +29.2% |
| 2022-03-08 miss | 0.08 | 0.07 | -12.5% | -1.5% | -12.3% | -7.0% | +6.6% |
| 2021-12-08 beat | 0.02 | 0.05 | +150.0% | +1.6% | -0.8% | -3.3% | -9.0% |
| 2021-08-25 beat | -0.04 | 0.13 | +425.0% | +4.1% | +13.0% | -1.4% | -8.6% |
| 2021-05-26 beat | -0.03 | 0.02 | +166.7% | +1.3% | +0.3% | -1.0% | -6.4% |
| 2021-02-25 miss | 0.09 | 0.03 | -66.7% | +1.9% | -5.8% | -9.5% | +2.0% |
| 2020-11-25 miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -11.1% | +0.4% | -7.2% | +0.0% | +0.4% |
| 2020-08-21 beat | 0.02 | 0.25 | +1150.0% | +5.8% | +10.1% | +1.8% | -4.2% |
| 2020-05-26 beat | 0.04 | 0.08 | +100.0% | +3.9% | +1.6% | +7.4% | -3.1% |
| 2020-02-21 beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +33.3% | +0.7% | +0.3% | -6.2% | -31.3% |
| 2019-11-21 beat | -0.01 | 0.01 | +200.0% | +0.3% | +6.7% | -0.6% | +2.6% |
| 2019-08-22 beat | -0.01 | 0.01 | +200.0% | -3.6% | +5.4% | -9.4% | -12.0% |
| 2019-05-23 beat | 0.01 | 0.05 | +400.0% | +1.6% | +3.5% | +4.9% | +0.9% |
| 2019-02-21 miss | 0.03 | -0.04 | -233.3% | -3.8% | -4.1% | -1.8% | +5.8% |
| 2018-11-23 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +100.0% | +0.0% | +6.0% | -0.6% | -15.3% |
| 2018-08-23 beat | 0.01 | 0.09 | +800.0% | +8.2% | +1.1% | -0.3% | -0.8% |
| 2018-05-24 miss | 0.06 | -0.05 | -183.3% | -1.2% | -1.2% | +1.0% | -4.2% |
| 2018-02-22 miss | 0.07 | 0.02 | -71.4% | -9.9% | -1.6% | +0.0% | -11.0% |
| 2017-11-22 miss | 0.06 | 0.03 | -50.0% | +2.4% | +9.7% | -2.5% | +0.5% |
| 2017-08-24 beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +71.5% | +2.5% | +0.9% | +0.6% | +1.6% |
| 2017-05-25 beat | 0.02 | 0.05 | +114.3% | +1.6% | +11.5% | -5.9% | -0.3% |
| 2017-02-23 beat | -0.04 | 0.04 | +200.0% | +3.7% | +2.0% | +5.7% | -6.7% |
| 2016-11-29 miss | 0.03 | -0.06 | -280.0% | +10.3% | +1.8% | -1.4% | +1.2% |
| 2016-08-25 miss | 0.02 | -0.04 | -300.0% | +5.4% | +0.9% | +10.4% | +4.8% |
| 2016-05-25 miss | 0.03 | — | -100.0% | +0.2% | -1.0% | -16.2% | -18.2% |
| 2016-02-25 miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -20.0% | -2.0% | +1.6% | +11.3% | +12.5% |
| 2015-11-24 miss | 0.12 | 0.02 | -83.3% | +14.5% | +3.7% | -2.5% | -9.2% |
| 2015-08-27 miss | 0.11 | 0.06 | -47.4% | -0.2% | +7.1% | +0.9% | -9.8% |
| 2015-05-26 beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +7.7% | -1.1% | +1.5% | +3.4% | +4.0% |
| 2015-02-26 beat | 0.14 | 0.14 | +2.5% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +2.3% | +10.4% |
| 2014-11-21 miss | 0.17 | 0.04 | -77.0% | -1.2% | -0.3% | -12.8% | -18.5% |
| 2014-08-28 miss | 0.17 | 0.12 | -28.7% | -0.6% | +0.6% | -3.8% | -5.4% |
| 2014-05-22 beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +7.2% | +5.0% | +4.4% | +1.1% | +11.2% |
| 2014-02-20 miss | 0.18 | 0.16 | -9.6% | +0.6% | -1.7% | +1.3% | +11.6% |
| 2013-11-22 miss | 0.17 | 0.12 | -30.6% | -2.2% | -3.6% | -0.3% | -12.8% |
| 2013-08-20 miss | 0.28 | 0.16 | -42.3% | -1.7% | -9.8% | +1.8% | +7.9% |
| 2013-05-23 miss | 0.30 | 0.26 | -11.9% | -0.9% | -0.6% | +6.9% | +2.4% |
| 2013-02-21 beat | 0.29 | 0.33 | +13.8% | +1.2% | +3.6% | +3.9% | +15.7% |
| 2012-02-23 beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +13.3% | +1.1% | -1.9% | +9.5% | +34.9% |
| 2011-11-16 miss | 0.18 | 0.10 | -44.4% | -2.5% | -0.5% | -8.6% | -2.8% |
| 2011-08-25 miss | 0.17 | 0.16 | -5.9% | +0.2% | -3.1% | +3.0% | -6.4% |
| 2011-05-16 miss | 0.13 | 0.07 | -46.1% | +0.0% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -22.2% |
| 2011-02-23 beat | 0.08 | 0.21 | +180.0% | +2.1% | +4.4% | -0.7% | -9.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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