GIB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 4.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.1% | 2.5% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.3% | 1.2% | 65% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +1.1% | 4.4% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 2.28 | 2.29 | +0.5% | -0.6% | +4.3% | -2.5% | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 2.26 | 2.27 | +0.6% | -0.7% | -10.8% | +1.6% | +6.4% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 2.11 | 2.12 | +0.6% | +3.8% | -2.1% | -4.2% | -15.0% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 2.09 | 2.13 | +1.9% | +0.7% | +5.0% | -2.4% | +3.0% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 2.08 | 2.10 | +1.0% | +0.6% | -2.8% | -0.5% | -0.7% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | 2.13 | 2.12 | -0.7% | -2.7% | -0.9% | -0.1% | +1.4% |
| 2025-01-29 miss | 1.97 | 1.97 | -0.2% | -0.3% | +0.1% | +4.9% | -9.5% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 1.91 | 1.92 | +0.7% | -0.6% | -0.3% | -0.3% | +0.2% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | 1.92 | 1.91 | -0.3% | -0.8% | +4.8% | -7.2% | -2.2% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 1.95 | 1.97 | +1.1% | -0.7% | -1.8% | +4.0% | -0.4% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 1.82 | 1.83 | +0.6% | -0.6% | +0.5% | -0.1% | +3.7% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | 1.77 | 1.79 | +1.1% | -0.2% | -2.5% | +2.4% | +4.9% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 1.79 | 1.80 | +0.5% | -1.4% | -4.8% | +1.5% | +2.6% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 1.72 | 1.82 | +5.9% | +1.2% | +4.0% | +0.9% | +0.7% |
| 2023-02-01 beat | 1.60 | 1.66 | +3.6% | +1.7% | +4.1% | +2.8% | +2.7% |
| 2022-11-09 beat | 1.55 | 1.56 | +0.9% | -0.7% | -0.2% | +5.4% | +5.9% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 1.53 | 1.54 | +0.5% | -0.3% | +2.6% | +1.0% | -2.6% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 1.51 | 1.53 | +1.4% | +0.7% | +1.1% | +2.5% | +3.2% |
| 2022-02-02 beat | 1.43 | 1.50 | +4.7% | -4.2% | +2.8% | -1.0% | -8.8% |
| 2021-11-10 beat | 1.35 | 1.40 | +3.5% | +0.5% | -4.7% | -2.0% | -2.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.