GO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.9% | -1.8% | 15.8% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | -0.0% | 3.9% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.9% | 2.9% | 65% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | +1.8% | 18.1% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 beat | 0.12 | 0.20 | +60.9% | +9.4% | +6.2% | +2.9% | — |
| 2026-05-13 beat | 0.02 | 0.05 | +120.1% | +17.7% | -0.9% | +4.4% | +25.4% |
| 2026-03-04 miss | 0.21 | 0.19 | -8.9% | -24.9% | -27.9% | -4.1% | +12.0% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +11.5% | -11.4% | -8.0% | -12.5% | -13.0% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.17 | 0.23 | +32.9% | +22.5% | +42.7% | -1.0% | -1.4% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.07 | 0.13 | +82.9% | +0.8% | -6.1% | -12.1% | -10.7% |
| 2025-02-25 miss | 0.17 | 0.15 | -10.3% | -29.8% | -30.2% | +4.4% | +18.0% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +3.4% | +6.7% | +10.6% | +18.6% | +18.7% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.20 | 0.25 | +25.2% | +8.1% | +5.9% | -2.4% | -11.7% |
| 2024-05-07 miss | 0.18 | 0.09 | -51.1% | -19.5% | -19.4% | +0.1% | +0.1% |
| 2024-02-27 beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +11.1% | +7.1% | -1.2% | -0.4% | +10.1% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | 0.27 | 0.31 | +15.5% | -5.1% | -4.6% | +9.4% | +7.7% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 0.26 | 0.32 | +23.2% | +7.6% | +4.4% | -2.0% | -11.3% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +16.6% | +5.0% | +4.6% | -3.1% | -11.3% |
| 2023-02-28 beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +8.2% | -3.6% | -2.3% | +1.0% | +6.8% |
| 2022-11-08 beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +5.8% | -6.8% | -9.5% | +1.7% | -7.9% |
| 2022-08-09 beat | 0.24 | 0.29 | +20.9% | +0.2% | -6.4% | -1.9% | -9.0% |
| 2022-05-10 beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +11.3% | +13.5% | +14.7% | -1.7% | +8.4% |
| 2022-03-01 miss | 0.20 | 0.20 | -1.0% | -2.3% | -3.3% | +6.8% | +20.4% |
| 2021-11-09 beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +7.4% | +5.1% | +12.3% | +6.2% | +7.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.