HDB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.2% | -0.9% | 4.2% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | +0.2% | 2.5% | 55% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 1.6% | 45% |
| 5-day | -1.7% | -0.3% | 5.8% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 miss | 0.39 | 0.38 | -1.9% | -6.1% | -10.5% | -1.6% | -1.8% |
| 2026-04-18 beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +4.3% | -2.9% | -3.4% | -3.3% | -8.7% |
| 2026-01-17 beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +1.6% | -1.4% | -0.9% | +0.3% | +1.1% |
| 2025-10-18 beat | 0.36 | 0.41 | +14.5% | +0.2% | -0.3% | +0.0% | +1.4% |
| 2025-07-19 beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +9.1% | +2.0% | +4.2% | -2.1% | -4.6% |
| 2025-04-19 beat | 0.25 | 0.40 | +63.6% | +2.0% | +2.4% | -2.6% | -0.9% |
| 2025-01-22 beat | 0.25 | 0.38 | +53.5% | +1.6% | +3.1% | -1.8% | -2.0% |
| 2024-10-19 beat | 0.25 | 0.39 | +54.7% | +2.7% | +4.3% | +1.6% | -0.6% |
| 2024-07-20 beat | 0.25 | 0.38 | +54.3% | +1.9% | +2.2% | -1.1% | -1.1% |
| 2024-04-20 beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +10.0% | -1.3% | -1.3% | +0.1% | -3.7% |
| 2024-01-16 beat | 0.25 | 0.39 | +56.1% | +0.6% | -6.7% | -11.8% | -13.7% |
| 2023-10-16 beat | 0.23 | 0.38 | +67.3% | +1.5% | +1.4% | -4.0% | -0.5% |
| 2023-04-15 beat | 0.39 | 0.39 | +1.8% | -2.4% | -2.5% | +2.7% | -2.4% |
| 2023-01-14 miss | 0.41 | 0.40 | -1.6% | -0.8% | -0.8% | +6.6% | +3.8% |
| 2022-10-15 miss | 0.36 | 0.35 | -3.7% | +1.8% | +3.4% | +0.8% | +15.8% |
| 2022-07-16 miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -1.4% | -1.4% | -2.8% | +5.0% | +15.2% |
| 2022-04-16 beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +3.0% | -4.5% | -7.9% | +3.7% | +0.4% |
| 2022-01-15 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.7% | -1.3% | -1.2% | -5.0% | -4.8% |
| 2021-10-16 beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +1.6% | -1.0% | +0.7% | +0.5% | -7.7% |
| 2021-07-17 miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -5.6% | -2.7% | -7.2% | +1.7% | +10.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.