HOOD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.8% | -3.4% | 9.6% | 35% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 5.1% | 55% |
| Day 3 | +1.1% | +1.3% | 3.8% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.0% | -0.4% | 12.7% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.43 | 0.62 | +43.7% | +1.2% | -3.6% | +4.7% | +20.4% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +8.6% | -11.9% | -13.2% | +11.0% | +32.4% |
| 2026-02-10 beat | 0.68 | 0.73 | +6.3% | -9.0% | -8.9% | -3.0% | -5.9% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.54 | 0.61 | +12.1% | -1.7% | -10.8% | -4.4% | +7.4% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.31 | 0.42 | +36.0% | -2.1% | -2.9% | +7.9% | +1.0% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.37 | 0.44 | +19.8% | +4.1% | -5.1% | +16.0% | +45.8% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 0.52 | 1.04 | +99.1% | +11.1% | +14.1% | -19.1% | -34.1% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.26 | 0.26 | +0.4% | -7.8% | -16.7% | +25.0% | +60.2% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 0.26 | 0.30 | +16.0% | +3.2% | +3.6% | +10.3% | +10.9% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.06 | 0.18 | +224.6% | +6.7% | -3.1% | +3.5% | +35.4% |
| 2024-02-13 beat | 0.07 | 0.13 | +72.2% | +15.3% | +13.0% | +4.4% | +35.7% |
| 2023-11-07 miss | 0.12 | 0.11 | -6.2% | -10.0% | -14.3% | -0.4% | +40.2% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +21.2% | -8.5% | -7.2% | -7.0% | -3.7% |
| 2023-05-10 beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +21.2% | +5.3% | +6.4% | -10.7% | -3.0% |
| 2023-02-08 miss | -0.08 | -0.13 | -50.4% | +5.7% | -3.7% | +2.6% | -10.8% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | -0.31 | -0.20 | +35.4% | +3.9% | +8.2% | -24.8% | -21.6% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | -0.33 | -0.31 | +6.2% | +1.8% | +11.7% | +2.6% | -6.6% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | -0.35 | -0.45 | -26.8% | -10.3% | -2.8% | +3.2% | +2.6% |
| 2022-01-27 miss | -0.44 | -0.49 | -10.2% | -14.1% | +9.6% | +19.2% | -7.5% |
| 2021-10-26 miss | 0.10 | -0.07 | -177.0% | -9.1% | -10.4% | +4.5% | -21.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.