JACK chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | -0.9% | 7.5% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | +0.1% | 3.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.3% | 2.6% | 37% |
| 5-day | -0.7% | -1.2% | 12.7% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 beat | 0.88 | 0.96 | +8.6% | +17.1% | -0.1% | -11.5% | — |
| 2026-05-13 beat | 0.74 | 0.76 | +2.6% | +5.4% | -14.2% | +3.4% | +17.7% |
| 2026-02-18 miss | 1.11 | 1.00 | -9.6% | -2.3% | -18.1% | -4.1% | -39.0% |
| 2025-11-19 miss | 0.47 | 0.30 | -36.3% | +0.6% | +7.8% | +27.2% | +25.5% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 1.17 | 1.02 | -12.5% | -3.9% | -1.6% | +10.8% | +6.5% |
| 2025-05-14 beat | 1.15 | 1.20 | +4.2% | -5.1% | -6.3% | -15.9% | -25.1% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 1.69 | 1.92 | +13.8% | +11.6% | +11.8% | -7.7% | -24.5% |
| 2024-11-20 beat | 1.09 | 1.16 | +6.0% | +0.5% | +4.8% | +2.2% | -16.1% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 1.51 | 1.65 | +9.2% | -1.9% | -3.1% | +5.2% | -10.8% |
| 2024-05-14 beat | 1.43 | 1.46 | +2.2% | +3.3% | +0.0% | -1.2% | +4.1% |
| 2024-02-21 miss | 1.96 | 1.95 | -0.3% | -8.7% | -4.9% | +3.8% | -4.3% |
| 2023-11-21 miss | 1.15 | 1.09 | -5.5% | -1.1% | +1.8% | +3.1% | +18.1% |
| 2023-08-09 beat | 1.34 | 1.45 | +8.2% | +1.0% | -6.8% | -5.4% | -10.8% |
| 2023-05-17 beat | 1.22 | 1.47 | +20.4% | +2.8% | +0.3% | -4.7% | -5.1% |
| 2023-03-01 beat | 1.74 | 2.01 | +15.6% | +5.5% | +8.6% | +1.0% | -0.4% |
| 2022-11-22 miss | 1.36 | 1.33 | -2.0% | -7.0% | -16.1% | +1.5% | -5.0% |
| 2022-08-10 miss | 1.42 | 1.38 | -2.9% | -0.6% | +7.4% | +12.7% | +0.8% |
| 2022-05-26 miss | 1.37 | 1.16 | -15.5% | -8.3% | -2.9% | +2.1% | -17.0% |
| 2022-02-23 beat | 1.91 | 1.97 | +3.3% | -1.2% | -2.2% | -1.4% | +3.6% |
| 2021-11-23 beat | 1.74 | 1.76 | +1.3% | -6.2% | -2.9% | -13.0% | -8.8% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 1.49 | 1.78 | +19.7% | -4.4% | -2.7% | +0.7% | +3.7% |
| 2021-05-12 beat | 1.29 | 1.48 | +15.0% | -4.1% | -2.5% | +0.8% | +3.8% |
| 2021-02-17 beat | 1.77 | 2.16 | +22.0% | +0.6% | +0.4% | +1.9% | +17.0% |
| 2020-11-18 beat | 1.14 | 1.61 | +41.4% | +6.4% | +4.8% | +1.1% | -0.3% |
| 2020-08-05 beat | 1.03 | 1.37 | +32.4% | +3.3% | -0.6% | -3.7% | +1.0% |
| 2020-05-13 miss | 0.69 | 0.50 | -28.0% | -4.3% | +2.8% | +2.1% | +11.5% |
| 2020-02-19 miss | 1.38 | 1.17 | -15.2% | -5.2% | -1.3% | -15.7% | -73.1% |
| 2019-11-20 miss | 0.96 | 0.95 | -0.7% | +2.6% | -5.0% | -1.6% | -3.3% |
| 2019-08-07 beat | 1.00 | 1.07 | +7.4% | +12.0% | +16.8% | +1.9% | +2.2% |
| 2019-05-15 beat | 0.93 | 0.99 | +6.8% | +0.7% | +1.3% | +2.6% | +9.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.