JEF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.4% | -0.5% | 5.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.6% | 2.0% | 35% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | -0.4% | 1.6% | 45% |
| 5-day | -1.4% | +0.2% | 7.7% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 miss | 1.24 | 1.02 | -18.1% | -3.7% | -9.1% | +0.0% | +6.8% |
| 2026-03-25 miss | 0.89 | 0.70 | -21.4% | +0.0% | +1.6% | +3.5% | +18.8% |
| 2026-01-07 beat | 0.80 | 0.96 | +20.0% | -7.9% | -5.6% | +5.2% | -1.7% |
| 2025-09-29 beat | 0.80 | 1.01 | +26.2% | +2.4% | -1.9% | -9.7% | -19.1% |
| 2025-06-25 miss | 0.46 | 0.40 | -13.0% | -4.3% | +0.3% | +1.5% | +2.5% |
| 2025-03-26 miss | 1.20 | 0.57 | -52.3% | -10.0% | -9.9% | -11.8% | -13.6% |
| 2025-01-08 beat | 1.04 | 1.07 | +3.2% | -6.8% | -10.8% | +6.0% | +0.6% |
| 2024-09-25 beat | 0.77 | 0.87 | +13.6% | -4.6% | -1.3% | +2.3% | +4.7% |
| 2024-06-26 beat | 0.64 | 0.73 | +14.2% | +4.2% | +6.3% | +3.6% | +16.8% |
| 2024-03-27 miss | 0.76 | 0.75 | -1.8% | -2.1% | -4.4% | -0.6% | -1.0% |
| 2024-01-08 beat | 0.24 | 0.30 | +25.4% | -2.7% | -2.0% | -2.4% | +1.1% |
| 2023-09-27 miss | 0.34 | 0.23 | -32.9% | -2.5% | +1.9% | -4.3% | -14.2% |
| 2023-06-27 miss | 0.29 | 0.05 | -81.6% | -0.5% | +3.5% | -2.4% | +11.6% |
| 2023-03-28 beat | 0.44 | 0.55 | +23.3% | -0.4% | +3.1% | -0.4% | +2.9% |
| 2023-01-09 beat | 0.52 | 0.57 | +10.7% | -0.1% | +3.8% | +1.4% | +4.0% |
| 2022-09-28 beat | 0.73 | 1.10 | +51.2% | -1.6% | -2.1% | +11.6% | +18.0% |
| 2022-06-27 miss | 0.51 | 0.45 | -12.2% | -0.6% | +1.0% | -1.9% | +14.5% |
| 2022-03-28 beat | 0.89 | 1.23 | +39.0% | +5.4% | +4.3% | -2.5% | -4.8% |
| 2022-01-12 miss | 1.34 | 1.20 | -10.3% | -6.4% | -9.3% | -3.4% | +0.0% |
| 2021-09-30 beat | 0.99 | 1.50 | +51.0% | +0.4% | +2.1% | +5.2% | +13.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.