JJSF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.1% | -1.4% | 9.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | -1.8% | 4.7% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.5% | 1.7% | 80% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | -2.7% | 11.4% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 1.70 | 1.96 | +15.1% | +2.3% | +7.7% | +5.8% | +1.5% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +3.5% | -3.8% | -7.0% | -9.0% | -4.1% |
| 2026-02-03 miss | 0.36 | 0.33 | -8.3% | -1.3% | -15.4% | +2.6% | +6.4% |
| 2025-11-17 beat | 1.24 | 1.58 | +27.8% | +3.9% | +1.1% | +5.5% | +12.6% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 1.76 | 2.00 | +13.4% | +10.0% | +1.9% | -3.9% | -7.7% |
| 2025-05-06 miss | 0.68 | 0.35 | -48.5% | -12.0% | -11.9% | +0.4% | -2.1% |
| 2025-02-03 miss | 0.59 | 0.33 | -44.4% | -4.6% | -6.5% | +2.4% | +11.2% |
| 2024-11-13 miss | 1.85 | 1.60 | -13.3% | -1.9% | -3.9% | +0.7% | +0.7% |
| 2024-08-05 miss | 1.99 | 1.98 | -0.6% | +6.4% | +6.3% | +0.1% | -1.1% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 0.59 | 0.84 | +41.4% | +5.1% | +16.4% | +1.4% | +1.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.