LI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.3% | -0.5% | 8.8% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +0.0% | 4.6% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | -0.3% | 2.8% | 40% |
| 5-day | -2.1% | -4.5% | 10.8% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 miss | -0.42 | -1.69 | -306.6% | -1.1% | -1.1% | -1.1% | — |
| 2026-05-28 miss | -2.02 | -2.26 | -12.0% | -4.7% | -1.5% | -6.2% | -23.5% |
| 2026-03-12 miss | 0.15 | 0.01 | -93.2% | -3.9% | -2.5% | -4.1% | +5.3% |
| 2025-11-26 miss | 0.56 | -0.62 | -211.7% | -2.0% | +0.6% | -4.6% | -6.9% |
| 2025-08-28 miss | 1.42 | 1.03 | -27.7% | +0.3% | +2.9% | +1.7% | +8.5% |
| 2025-05-29 beat | 0.64 | 0.96 | +50.0% | +0.4% | +2.1% | +2.7% | -4.8% |
| 2025-03-14 beat | 2.67 | 3.31 | +24.1% | -3.8% | -4.4% | -3.9% | -13.1% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 3.02 | 3.63 | +20.3% | -8.3% | -13.6% | +2.4% | -8.8% |
| 2024-08-28 beat | 1.36 | 1.42 | +4.2% | -5.9% | -16.1% | +6.0% | +44.8% |
| 2024-05-20 miss | 1.46 | 1.21 | -17.0% | -8.7% | -12.8% | -6.1% | -17.0% |
| 2024-02-26 beat | 2.32 | 4.23 | +82.0% | +12.1% | +18.8% | -9.0% | -25.9% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 2.38 | 3.29 | +38.0% | +1.2% | -4.3% | +3.2% | -6.3% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 0.88 | 2.18 | +146.6% | -8.4% | -8.6% | -4.8% | -9.5% |
| 2023-05-10 beat | 0.63 | 1.35 | +114.3% | +6.1% | +13.9% | +2.2% | +12.6% |
| 2023-02-27 beat | -0.25 | 0.25 | +200.2% | +4.9% | +0.3% | +7.3% | +6.2% |
| 2022-12-09 miss | -0.64 | -1.27 | -98.6% | -6.4% | -12.4% | -3.2% | +5.7% |
| 2022-08-15 miss | -0.43 | -0.64 | -50.3% | -5.1% | +0.2% | -5.3% | -18.1% |
| 2022-05-10 beat | 0.19 | 0.47 | +153.4% | +7.5% | +4.1% | +20.7% | +49.9% |
| 2022-02-25 beat | -0.21 | 0.29 | +241.1% | +1.3% | +1.9% | -2.4% | -5.1% |
| 2021-11-29 beat | 0.09 | 0.34 | +277.8% | +7.1% | +6.4% | -11.5% | -14.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.