LW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.9% | +2.6% | 12.7% | 65% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.7% | 3.5% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 2.6% | 55% |
| 5-day | -0.4% | +3.2% | 13.4% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 beat | 0.63 | 0.87 | +39.1% | -1.1% | +0.8% | +6.0% | +10.5% |
| 2026-04-01 beat | 0.61 | 0.72 | +17.4% | -1.8% | -8.9% | +8.1% | +14.0% |
| 2025-12-19 beat | 0.65 | 0.69 | +6.4% | -14.3% | -25.9% | -4.8% | +0.4% |
| 2025-09-30 beat | 0.53 | 0.74 | +38.7% | +6.7% | +4.3% | +9.0% | +8.8% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 0.63 | 0.87 | +38.2% | +14.0% | +16.3% | +2.6% | -4.4% |
| 2025-04-03 beat | 0.87 | 1.10 | +26.7% | +10.7% | +10.0% | -9.5% | -13.9% |
| 2024-12-19 miss | 1.01 | 0.66 | -34.3% | -15.7% | -20.1% | +7.2% | -3.2% |
| 2024-10-01 beat | 0.72 | 0.73 | +1.7% | -2.9% | +2.6% | +6.6% | +16.7% |
| 2024-07-24 miss | 1.26 | 0.78 | -37.9% | -24.8% | -28.2% | +6.4% | +10.6% |
| 2024-04-04 miss | 1.45 | 1.20 | -17.3% | -12.5% | -19.4% | -0.2% | +4.4% |
| 2024-01-04 beat | 1.42 | 1.45 | +2.4% | +1.8% | +0.3% | +1.8% | -1.1% |
| 2023-10-05 beat | 1.08 | 1.63 | +50.6% | +9.4% | +8.0% | -14.0% | -3.7% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 1.05 | 1.22 | +16.5% | +0.7% | -6.8% | -1.7% | -8.0% |
| 2023-04-06 beat | 0.99 | 1.43 | +44.5% | +1.8% | +2.6% | +1.7% | +5.0% |
| 2023-01-05 beat | 0.74 | 1.28 | +72.4% | +8.4% | +9.8% | +1.1% | +3.2% |
| 2022-10-05 beat | 0.50 | 0.75 | +48.7% | +2.7% | +4.2% | +0.9% | +3.3% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 0.51 | 0.65 | +27.0% | -0.9% | +2.6% | +6.0% | +7.1% |
| 2022-04-07 beat | 0.43 | 0.73 | +70.0% | +4.5% | +8.0% | +5.3% | -3.9% |
| 2022-01-06 beat | 0.32 | 0.50 | +54.8% | +9.5% | +7.4% | +1.8% | -5.2% |
| 2021-10-07 miss | 0.38 | 0.20 | -47.2% | -11.5% | -6.6% | -0.4% | -0.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.