MAN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +0.4% | 10.4% | 55% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -0.5% | 3.1% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 2.5% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.4% | -3.0% | 11.7% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 beat | 0.95 | 0.99 | +4.0% | +19.9% | +32.4% | -3.3% | +12.9% |
| 2026-04-16 beat | 0.49 | 0.51 | +4.6% | -2.3% | +0.9% | -5.6% | -16.2% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 0.82 | 0.92 | +12.5% | +4.0% | +15.0% | +10.1% | -18.8% |
| 2025-10-16 beat | 0.81 | 0.83 | +2.0% | +7.1% | -6.5% | -5.4% | -19.4% |
| 2025-07-17 beat | 0.69 | 0.78 | +13.8% | +9.5% | +2.9% | +0.9% | -7.0% |
| 2025-04-17 miss | 0.50 | 0.44 | -12.3% | -11.5% | -19.1% | +5.9% | +9.7% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 1.00 | 1.02 | +1.7% | +0.4% | +0.5% | -6.0% | -5.2% |
| 2024-10-17 miss | 1.30 | 1.29 | -0.4% | -5.0% | -9.8% | -5.1% | -8.0% |
| 2024-07-18 beat | 1.27 | 1.30 | +2.3% | -2.7% | -1.1% | +1.0% | -3.4% |
| 2024-04-18 beat | 0.92 | 0.94 | +2.4% | +8.3% | +5.7% | +2.9% | +3.8% |
| 2024-01-30 beat | 1.20 | 1.45 | +21.2% | -7.4% | +0.7% | -4.3% | -6.4% |
| 2023-10-19 beat | 1.35 | 1.38 | +2.5% | -3.1% | -2.4% | +0.1% | +8.4% |
| 2023-07-20 miss | 1.61 | 1.58 | -2.1% | -3.5% | -7.3% | -3.5% | -6.3% |
| 2023-04-20 miss | 1.63 | 1.61 | -1.1% | -8.2% | -7.2% | +0.7% | -1.2% |
| 2023-01-31 miss | 2.12 | 2.08 | -1.9% | +1.7% | +0.3% | +5.0% | -3.0% |
| 2022-10-20 beat | 2.17 | 2.21 | +1.9% | +4.8% | +5.1% | +0.1% | +12.7% |
| 2022-07-19 beat | 2.32 | 2.33 | +0.6% | +0.0% | -0.5% | -6.3% | +2.1% |
| 2022-04-19 beat | 1.59 | 1.88 | +18.3% | +2.6% | +7.1% | -4.9% | -6.1% |
| 2022-02-01 beat | 2.02 | 2.20 | +9.2% | +2.2% | +4.0% | +1.3% | -7.1% |
| 2021-10-19 miss | 1.89 | 1.77 | -6.5% | -7.2% | -6.3% | -6.1% | -7.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.