MBOT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -4.8% | -4.7% | 6.8% | 20% |
| Day 2 | +1.2% | +1.4% | 2.7% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -1.4% | -2.8% | 3.1% | 30% |
| 5-day | -4.7% | -4.0% | 12.8% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 miss | -0.08 | -0.08 | -4.3% | -2.6% | -13.4% | -12.5% | -13.1% |
| 2026-05-13 beat | -0.07 | -0.05 | +28.6% | -1.4% | -14.7% | -3.8% | -1.6% |
| 2026-03-26 beat | -0.06 | -0.04 | +33.3% | -1.9% | -8.8% | -1.3% | -12.1% |
| 2025-11-12 miss | -0.06 | -0.07 | -16.7% | -1.9% | -6.1% | -13.1% | +11.1% |
| 2025-08-12 miss | -0.08 | -0.10 | -25.0% | +0.0% | -2.6% | +8.9% | +33.2% |
| 2025-05-14 beat | -0.13 | -0.08 | +38.5% | +1.6% | +8.5% | -3.7% | -8.2% |
| 2025-03-25 miss | -0.18 | -0.20 | -11.1% | +0.6% | -4.4% | +11.8% | +71.7% |
| 2024-11-13 miss | -0.17 | -0.20 | -17.6% | -1.0% | -5.0% | -2.1% | +5.3% |
| 2024-08-14 | -0.17 | -0.17 | — | +1.0% | +1.0% | -2.0% | -4.0% |
| 2024-05-15 | -0.17 | -0.17 | — | -2.1% | -2.1% | +16.1% | +16.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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