MFC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.8% | 4.8% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.1% | 2.0% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.6% | 1.5% | 35% |
| 5-day | +1.1% | -0.4% | 4.1% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 1.08 | 1.09 | +0.9% | +1.2% | +0.3% | -1.5% | -0.5% |
| 2026-05-13 miss | 1.09 | 1.06 | -3.0% | -5.7% | -5.8% | +4.0% | +8.5% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | 1.06 | 1.12 | +5.2% | -0.3% | -5.5% | +2.4% | -4.7% |
| 2025-11-12 beat | 1.04 | 1.16 | +11.8% | +1.1% | +0.0% | -1.7% | +3.9% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 0.97 | 0.95 | -1.8% | -0.9% | -3.8% | +1.7% | +2.2% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | 0.48 | 0.25 | -47.7% | -2.2% | -0.7% | +2.3% | +3.8% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 0.95 | 1.03 | +8.9% | +3.8% | +6.9% | -3.3% | -4.3% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.94 | 1.00 | +6.4% | +0.6% | +3.2% | +1.8% | -1.1% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 0.88 | 0.91 | +3.5% | +1.7% | +2.6% | +5.1% | +10.5% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.91 | 0.94 | +3.2% | +0.9% | +5.1% | +2.6% | +2.0% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 0.85 | 0.92 | +8.0% | +4.2% | +9.5% | -2.0% | -2.9% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | 0.81 | 0.92 | +13.1% | +2.5% | +3.0% | +1.2% | +10.8% |
| 2023-08-09 beat | 0.77 | 0.83 | +8.2% | +2.2% | +1.3% | -4.8% | -3.7% |
| 2023-05-10 miss | 0.80 | 0.79 | -0.8% | -1.0% | -1.0% | -0.6% | -0.7% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | 0.81 | 0.88 | +9.0% | +0.0% | +3.4% | -2.5% | -11.4% |
| 2022-11-09 miss | 0.71 | 0.67 | -5.7% | +3.8% | +5.0% | +1.6% | +3.3% |
| 2022-08-10 beat | 0.76 | 0.78 | +2.9% | +0.3% | -1.4% | +0.6% | -3.6% |
| 2022-05-11 miss | 0.82 | 0.77 | -6.6% | -4.1% | -10.5% | +5.6% | +2.0% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | 0.82 | 0.84 | +2.6% | +0.4% | +3.1% | -3.1% | -9.5% |
| 2021-11-03 miss | 0.79 | 0.76 | -3.9% | -0.8% | -4.3% | +3.3% | -4.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.