NBIX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.7% | +0.6% | 8.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | +0.0% | 1.9% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.3% | 2.5% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.8% | +0.2% | 10.2% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.96 | 2.85 | +45.4% | -0.6% | -10.1% | -2.0% | -7.7% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 1.70 | 1.94 | +14.4% | +10.3% | +8.9% | +9.7% | +11.5% |
| 2026-02-11 miss | 2.30 | 1.88 | -18.1% | -3.7% | -10.4% | +4.5% | +5.5% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 2.07 | 2.17 | +4.9% | -5.0% | -6.4% | +11.4% | +10.2% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.50 | 1.65 | +9.6% | +0.2% | -6.2% | -2.1% | +8.9% |
| 2025-05-05 miss | 1.09 | 0.70 | -36.0% | +12.1% | +8.4% | -1.7% | +4.8% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 1.93 | 1.69 | -12.4% | -16.3% | -18.5% | -6.2% | -12.6% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 1.82 | 1.81 | -0.4% | +8.8% | +7.0% | +0.8% | +1.9% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.53 | 1.63 | +6.8% | +6.1% | +8.2% | -4.2% | -17.0% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | 1.29 | 1.20 | -6.8% | +1.9% | +4.0% | -2.8% | -5.3% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 1.51 | 1.54 | +1.7% | -5.6% | -4.7% | -3.3% | +2.1% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 1.33 | 1.54 | +15.8% | -0.6% | +3.6% | +5.2% | +5.1% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 1.12 | 1.25 | +11.7% | +0.6% | +1.5% | -2.2% | +4.8% |
| 2023-05-03 miss | 0.74 | -0.51 | -169.4% | +3.4% | -4.7% | -1.9% | -6.4% |
| 2023-02-06 miss | 1.44 | 1.24 | -14.1% | -5.2% | -4.6% | -1.4% | -6.8% |
| 2022-11-01 miss | 1.12 | 1.08 | -3.7% | -0.1% | +3.7% | +3.8% | +5.8% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 0.89 | 0.84 | -5.7% | -0.6% | +8.5% | +1.5% | -1.0% |
| 2022-05-04 miss | 0.59 | 0.30 | -49.2% | +2.7% | -0.3% | -7.4% | +8.1% |
| 2022-02-11 miss | 0.88 | 0.04 | -95.5% | +1.0% | +7.4% | -0.2% | +6.5% |
| 2021-11-01 miss | 0.80 | 0.64 | -19.6% | -8.2% | -10.0% | -3.7% | -15.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.