NEWT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.6% | -1.7% | 6.6% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.3% | 2.9% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +1.5% | +1.2% | 3.1% | 70% |
| 5-day | -0.3% | -2.8% | 10.4% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +1.4% | +0.1% | -1.2% | -12.6% | -16.8% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.43 | 0.43 | +0.8% | +3.7% | +1.2% | +8.8% | +4.0% |
| 2026-01-29 miss | 0.66 | 0.65 | -1.5% | -2.8% | -5.7% | +3.3% | -8.1% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.65 | 0.67 | +2.5% | -0.2% | -2.6% | -0.5% | +1.2% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 0.52 | 0.52 | +0.5% | +0.1% | -3.6% | -0.2% | +8.8% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +10.5% | +7.5% | +3.9% | +12.9% | +8.7% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.67 | 0.69 | +3.4% | +4.9% | +6.5% | -6.9% | -8.9% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.39 | 0.45 | +16.1% | -1.5% | -2.5% | -0.4% | -0.2% |
| 2024-08-05 beat | 0.37 | 0.43 | +17.8% | +4.1% | +0.8% | -3.7% | -7.5% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 0.20 | 0.38 | +87.7% | +6.0% | +11.3% | +13.1% | +7.0% |
| 2024-04-01 miss | 0.55 | 0.43 | -21.5% | -0.5% | +3.8% | +7.4% | -5.5% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | 0.37 | 0.37 | +0.9% | -1.2% | -7.2% | +0.3% | +4.5% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.17 | 0.26 | +52.9% | +1.0% | +3.0% | -3.2% | -5.0% |
| 2023-05-11 miss | 0.41 | 0.22 | -46.2% | +0.0% | -4.9% | +3.1% | +36.1% |
| 2023-02-27 miss | 0.63 | 0.06 | -90.5% | -15.6% | -20.6% | -2.2% | -14.6% |
| 2022-11-07 miss | 0.68 | 0.62 | -8.4% | +0.9% | +1.0% | -4.9% | +10.8% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 0.72 | 0.75 | +3.7% | +2.7% | -1.6% | +3.1% | +0.5% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.61 | 0.72 | +19.0% | +2.1% | -2.7% | -2.8% | -1.3% |
| 2022-02-23 beat | 0.61 | 0.66 | +9.1% | -4.6% | -1.8% | +5.5% | +5.4% |
| 2021-11-08 miss | 0.59 | 0.56 | -5.1% | -4.9% | -10.0% | +4.8% | +5.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.